Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59493dbda3e8904eb49079885cfe8aab3440b06101d04dc956bc001140bf4a1d

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MIBRof MIBR, Leviatán Esports
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,201
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $46,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,201 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xafd4…7e61backed Leviatán Esports	34c	20,552$6,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,901.37	260	50%130 W · 130 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked MIBR	60c	7,750$4,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,067.5	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Leviatán Esports	33c	5,000$1,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,648.07	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR	67c	4,804$3,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,598.08	655	59.4%389 W · 266 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MIBR	66c	4,259$2,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,429.74	531	59.1%314 W · 217 L	+41.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR	73c	4,031$2,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,096.74	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MIBR	70c	2,724$1,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$825.77	684	58.3%399 W · 285 L	+56.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Leviatán Esports	53c	2,309$1,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,232.87	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MIBR	65c	1,816$1,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.34	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Leviatán Esports	54c	1,635$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890.19	285	48.4%138 W · 147 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Leviatán Esports	3c	1,361$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.83	600	22.7%136 W · 464 L	-26.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked MIBR	47c	1,180$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.4	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc84…04b2backed MIBR	46c	1,000$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MIBR	67c	845.49$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.01	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed MIBR	46c	792.96$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.25	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Leviatán Esports	42c	700$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.5	224	55.4%124 W · 100 L	-12.6wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-10%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed MIBR	46c	652.17$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.17	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-8.3wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Leviatán Esports	35c	567.28$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.51	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Leviatán Esports	29c	519.29$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Leviatán Esports	54c	500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	248	46%114 W · 134 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed MIBR	69c	484$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.19	291	51.5%150 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Leviatán Esports	55c	451.63$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.39	256	60.9%156 W · 100 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed MIBR	45c	444.44$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.44	158	43%68 W · 90 L	-12.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed Leviatán Esports	15c	396.96$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.71	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Leviatán Esports	45c	395.85$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.02	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed MIBR	55c	350.46$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.72	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MIBR	69c	339.25$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.78	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked Leviatán Esports	58c	334.22$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed MIBR	68c	291.52$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.73	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…c50bbacked Leviatán Esports	17c	250$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Leviatán Esports	25c	240$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0096…2a83backed Leviatán Esports	21c	233.33$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed MIBR	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…eb73backed Leviatán Esports	17c	217.65$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Leviatán Esports	56c	200$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	196	56.6%111 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed Leviatán Esports	55c	181.81$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked MIBR	46c	180$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.2	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x347d…098abacked MIBR	79c	178.57$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed MIBR	45c	177.78$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.78	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MIBR	42c	169.83$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.5	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Leviatán Esports	15c	153.71$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.55	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed MIBR	55c	127.37$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.41	279	47.7%133 W · 146 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Leviatán Esports	15c	110.8$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.13	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Leviatán Esports	55c	103.18$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.5	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Leviatán Esports	19c	102.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.71	418	35.6%149 W · 269 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked MIBR	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked Leviatán Esports	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	278	50%139 W · 139 L	+21.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1430…ed76backed MIBR	45c	99.99$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.27per pick	45cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MIBR	45c	93.78$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.3	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Leviatán Esports	37c	84$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.66	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Leviatán Esports	30c	78.93$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	40	55%22 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed MIBR	46c	78.26$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.26	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Leviatán Esports	31c	68.81$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.33	159	31.4%50 W · 109 L	-10.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MIBR	79c	60$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Leviatán Esports	57c	52.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	211	44.1%93 W · 118 L	-13.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed MIBR	45c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	140	47.9%67 W · 73 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffee…1383backed Leviatán Esports	56c	42.25$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.66	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Leviatán Esports	56c	42$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.52	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Leviatán Esports	54c	38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	271	45%122 W · 149 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Leviatán Esports	50c	33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed MIBR	44c	29.24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.33	443	42%186 W · 257 L	-22.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed MIBR	61c	24.59$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.59	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event