TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leviatán Esportsof MIBR, Leviatán Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafd4…7e61backed MIBR62c11,240$6,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,951.6626050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c66…c204backed MIBR44c7,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Leviatán Esports51c5,849$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.6265559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Leviatán Esports52c5,495$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.0753159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Leviatán Esports50c3,479$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.8168458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Leviatán Esports52c2,323$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.6553355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Leviatán Esports45c2,064$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.1293148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed MIBR44c1,759$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.026637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Leviatán Esports52c1,617$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.0656357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR48c1,422$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.011,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR49c1,344$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.7394361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Leviatán Esports52c838.96$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.4529151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Leviatán Esports59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28722455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Leviatán Esports54c639.91$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.171,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed MIBR55c555.25$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.4145250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Leviatán Esports53c546.3$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.431,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Leviatán Esports61c537.16$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.111,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Leviatán Esports40c489.53$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.5531153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MIBR52c468$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0978562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked MIBR29c400$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9327850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed MIBR54c391.41$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-72.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Leviatán Esports49c383.25$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.576045%27 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Leviatán Esports63c352.06$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3468949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Leviatán Esports50c327.34$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6710956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed MIBR57c308.87$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755238.5%20 W · 32 L-8.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0096…2a83backed MIBR43c287.73$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255238.5%20 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked MIBR37c259.46$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969148.4%44 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Leviatán Esports61c254.58$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+44.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Leviatán Esports50c240.69$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.693281.3%26 W · 6 L+8.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+36.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MIBR62c228$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.451,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked MIBR51c192.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9814534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Leviatán Esports54c188.93$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0537545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6201…622cbacked MIBR53c187.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c9…0557backed MIBR22c186.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-71.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MIBR30c173.6$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0851749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c2…1e3abacked MIBR60c165.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick70cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8165…ba12backed Leviatán Esports50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6f…7248backed MIBR51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Leviatán Esports44c152.34$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.977929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x48ac…b7c9backed Leviatán Esports72c124.61$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.892161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Leviatán Esports53c123.72$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2432261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked MIBR33c121.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1936648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed MIBR21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.213336.8%49 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x493a…0bd2backed MIBR43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8442…9df5backed Leviatán Esports71c114.73$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.454065%26 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked MIBR65c112.14$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.893040%12 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b11…c845backed MIBR41c107.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked Leviatán Esports68c105.25$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.682552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Leviatán Esports39c103$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.831,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Leviatán Esports41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594020%8 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed MIBR32c90.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed Leviatán Esports41c90.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.247949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43dc…e505backed MIBR56c88.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.757164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed MIBR34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR50c86.07$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.041,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Leviatán Esports57c83.25$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.81338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b7a…52c9backed MIBR45c82.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372420.8%5 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-54.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9099…9ca9backed MIBR44c73.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed MIBR50c67.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.752842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed MIBR58c66.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.54055%22 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Leviatán Esports49c61.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7921144.1%93 W · 118 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Leviatán Esports50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3042840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Leviatán Esports50c53.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.046053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Leviatán Esports50c51.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7514047.9%67 W · 73 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Leviatán Esports49c45.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1924846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f7f…e1edbacked Leviatán Esports55c44.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.182751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Leviatán Esports52c41.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.172360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked MIBR56c35.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Leviatán Esports52c35.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.818444.6%82 W · 102 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Leviatán Esports64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2516950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Leviatán Esports42c29.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8441835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Leviatán Esports67c26.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8712261.5%75 W · 47 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Leviatán Esports46c24.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.412159.5%72 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.221,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MIBR50c20.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.331,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.