CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x269c90743c92629501f9d223a91a9926028d0777b2f3d9a1402e5f56d1e5843d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 40,664$15,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,526.59 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Vitality | 62c | 36,137$22,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,440.62 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 13,285$6,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,008.53 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Vitality | 61c | 13,000$7,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,929.94 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 11,672$5,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,190.82 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 10,034$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,034.35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Vitality | 65c | 9,058$5,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,885.31 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Vitality | 62c | 8,531$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,289.13 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 8,250$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Vitality | 20c | 8,000$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 6,561$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.42 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…cfd7backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 6,251$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.2 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Vitality | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.98 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Vitality | 62c | 4,744$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.53 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Vitality | 66c | 4,488$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.23 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 4,386$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.9 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa503…c5b9backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 4,258$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 4,043$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.55 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vitality | 50c | 3,849$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.08 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 3,589$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.7 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Vitality | 59c | 3,403$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 3,350$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.33 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vitality | 67c | 3,092$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.31 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Vitality | 66c | 3,005$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.65 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe078…0de5backed Vitality | 42c | 2,821$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,723$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.3 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality | 49c | 2,528$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.83 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,457$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.88 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Vitality | 54c | 2,320$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253 | 201 | 41.8%84 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Vitality | 52c | 2,215$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.94 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Vitality | 22c | 2,096$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.22 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,009$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.86 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Vitality | 57c | 2,006$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.11 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.99 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdb…9e7abacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,974$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,912$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.74 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Vitality | 53c | 1,750$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.39 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Vitality | 61c | 1,713$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.6 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vitality | 52c | 1,707$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.6 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vitality | 50c | 1,644$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.02 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Vitality | 53c | 1,639$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Vitality | 65c | 1,607$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.26 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x836c…acffbacked Vitality | 63c | 1,593$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,553$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.03 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,550$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.99 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Vitality | 55c | 1,500$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.46 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Vitality | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79be…b605backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,491$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.43 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Vitality | 55c | 1,480$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.06 | 264 | 75%198 W · 66 L | +24.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Vitality | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,330$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.89 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed Vitality | 25c | 1,300$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Vitality | 51c | 1,290$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.57 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153f…61bebacked Vitality | 57c | 1,250$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,250$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vitality | 60c | 1,204$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.22 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vitality | 68c | 1,097$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.07 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vitality | 62c | 1,093$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.71 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Vitality | 61c | 1,085$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.75 | 503 | 41.6%209 W · 294 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Vitality | 61c | 1,061$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.19 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Vitality | 61c | 1,047$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.48 | 233 | 43.8%102 W · 131 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,019$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.37 | 362 | 40.3%146 W · 216 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Vitality | 65c | 1,015$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.64 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 999.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vitality | 61c | 977.3$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.14 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 936.94$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.64 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 924.17$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.62 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 890.73$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.2 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 862.05$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.09 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vitality | 54c | 828.98$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.22 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Vitality | 18c | 809.95$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.53 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Vitality | 55c | 799.98$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 793.4$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.32 | 356 | 43%153 W · 203 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Vitality | 53c | 751.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Vitality | 62c | 750$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 598 | 41.3%247 W · 351 L | -20.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Vitality | 66c | 750$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Vitality | 65c | 749.99$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.49 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…a82bbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 749.96$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.97 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vitality | 51c | 724.74$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.23 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 712.98$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 699.97$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.98 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…86ebbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 691.79$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 686.81$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.55 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 647.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.11 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 625.22$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.62 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…59acbacked Vitality | 45c | 620$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.59 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 600.71$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.58 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Vitality | 50c | 600.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Vitality | 51c | 599.88$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.86 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Vitality | 53c | 589.32$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.34 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 576.85$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.95 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 562.26$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.97 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a6…5d97backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 550$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Vitality | 56c | 550$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.02 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…5a51backed Vitality | 70c | 538.78$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.