CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96375abf75022efc070b00c4fc173609d2497598822b4b22c283823543f5c100
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 58c | 1,497$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.25 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 57c | 1,033$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.37 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 40c | 865.23$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.32 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Over | 53c | 772.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.31 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 47c | 756.9$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.74 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…d869backed Over | 43c | 475.3$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed Over | 43c | 441.86$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.86 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 62c | 402.91$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.44 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc6…8704backed Over | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 58c | 331.61$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.34 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 254.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 39c | 242.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.74 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Under | 61c | 163.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888a…ef47backed Over | 43c | 155.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 150.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Under | 65c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…4581backed Over | 47c | 83.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 62c | 81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 63c | 73.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Under | 57c | 70.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 38c | 68.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 44c | 65.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 51c | 62.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Over | 59c | 59.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…29ebbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 35c | 57.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 53c | 51.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Under | 58c | 50.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 43c | 49.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under | 69c | 43.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 43c | 41.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 50c | 39.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 44c | 38.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b6…e854backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 59c | 36.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Under | 62c | 31.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.5wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…3db9backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed Over | 52c | 23.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 63c | 20.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 63c | 18.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.