Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x961d21f5d269b5db2ecb31c8624c6b878a984834c54036c45682878320382c53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Konyasporof Kayserispor, Konyaspor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Konyaspor | 70c | 3,693$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.03 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +14.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kayserispor | 29c | 2,310$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.06 | 2,080 | 35.3%735 W · 1,345 L | -27.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Kayserispor | 27c | 2,123$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.29 | 2,068 | 36.7%758 W · 1,310 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Konyaspor | 71c | 2,088$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.18 | 2,132 | 47.9%1,022 W · 1,110 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Kayserispor | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Konyaspor | 71c | 855.97$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.01 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Kayserispor | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Konyaspor | 71c | 592$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.68 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Kayserispor | 15c | 585.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Konyaspor | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…0009backed Kayserispor | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Konyaspor | 71c | 460$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Konyaspor | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kayserispor | 15c | 348.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 663 | 41.6%276 W · 387 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Kayserispor | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Konyaspor | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Konyaspor | 73c | 271.64$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Konyaspor | 71c | 260$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Konyaspor | 71c | 260$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Kayserispor | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Kayserispor | 29c | 157$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 1,719 | 48.5%833 W · 886 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Kayserispor | 29c | 151.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Kayserispor | 14c | 149.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Kayserispor | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kayserispor | 20c | 134.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kayserispor | 29c | 129.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 2,361 | 46.8%1,106 W · 1,255 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Kayserispor | 29c | 112$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Konyaspor | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Konyaspor | 71c | 95.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Kayserispor | 30c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Konyaspor | 71c | 53.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Kayserispor | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Konyaspor | 80c | 35.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1,278 | 39.5%505 W · 773 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Konyaspor | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Konyaspor | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Konyaspor | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed Konyaspor | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Konyaspor | 70c | 19.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)this page
- Kayserispor vs. Konyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kayserispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kayserispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Konyaspor (-1.5)Kayserispor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.