MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a2225fbc3436c863ba6766b45039a68fa0180b0248c985265b7b2160c85cd94

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved: Jun 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $157,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $156,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,073 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks	33c	15,964$5,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,327.03	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks	56c	13,063$7,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,315.5	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	56c	11,974$6,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,697.64	341	51.6%176 W · 165 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals	68c	11,259$7,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,571.28	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals	45c	10,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,500	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals	44c	9,000$3,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,040	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks	20c	7,454$1,523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,523	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals	61c	7,076$4,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,771.08	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals	44c	5,415$2,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,032.54	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals	60c	4,742$2,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,914.8	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf916…e770backed Washington Nationals	66c	4,545$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,545.45	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	55c	4,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,199.99	603	50.1%302 W · 301 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Arizona Diamondbacks	55c	4,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,199.99	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals	47c	3,729$1,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,986.5	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks	35c	3,670$1,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,294.44	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Washington Nationals	62c	3,518$2,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,329.51	912	52.4%478 W · 434 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks	54c	3,429$1,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,851.9	1,289	47.2%609 W · 680 L	-18.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals	54c	3,153$1,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,462.27	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals	45c	3,000$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,650	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals	45c	2,667$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,466.67	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Arizona Diamondbacks	14c	2,469$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.24	522	28%146 W · 376 L	-57.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Washington Nationals	46c	2,417$1,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,305.54	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	55c	2,365$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Arizona Diamondbacks	1c	2,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	2cpaid	+188.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Washington Nationals	45c	1,818$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.9	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals	65c	1,534$992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.55	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Washington Nationals	44c	1,500$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	432	53.9%233 W · 199 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals	45c	1,371$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.89	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Arizona Diamondbacks	1c	1,323$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.87	585	2.1%12 W · 573 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe231…93a5backed Arizona Diamondbacks	55c	1,316$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.98	108	46.3%50 W · 58 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals	60c	1,260$756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.86	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Arizona Diamondbacks	55c	1,250$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.5	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals	62c	1,210$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.39	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals	45c	1,155$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.47	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks	26c	1,131$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.48	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	36c	1,030$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.3	367	29.4%108 W · 259 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks	22c	1,026$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.77	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	54c	999.98$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.99	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Arizona Diamondbacks	54c	999.97$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.99	233	57.9%135 W · 98 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks	55c	981$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.55	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Arizona Diamondbacks	2c	892.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.85	404	3.5%14 W · 390 L	-19.4wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals	44c	810.99$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.15	694	53.6%372 W · 322 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	55c	727.27$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	119	51.3%61 W · 58 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Arizona Diamondbacks	55c	682.98$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.64	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks	35c	584.23$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.48	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Washington Nationals	44c	542.28$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.25	377	48.8%184 W · 193 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Washington Nationals	44c	524.98$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.99	1,010	51.2%517 W · 493 L	+36.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f2…97a6backed Arizona Diamondbacks	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks	20c	476.91$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.43	1,113	49%545 W · 568 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals	45c	455$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.25	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Washington Nationals	45c	450$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.5	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c39…037fbacked Washington Nationals	45c	444.44$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.44	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals	45c	444$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.2	1,137	46.3%526 W · 611 L	+36.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks	55c	431.76$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.74	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Washington Nationals	68c	431.25$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	718	50.1%360 W · 358 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Washington Nationals	76c	377.13$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.74	979	44.4%435 W · 544 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks	55c	373.22$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.27	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks	36c	367.67$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.21	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Washington Nationals	45c	333.33$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.33	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Washington Nationals	45c	333.33$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.33	323	50.5%163 W · 160 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	25c	330.2$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.49	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc5…d49fbacked Washington Nationals	61c	324.49$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.85	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Arizona Diamondbacks	18c	300$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	309	28.5%88 W · 221 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals	44c	261.46$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.42	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals	45c	260$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143	1,310	43.6%571 W · 739 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals	45c	258$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.9	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	56c	255$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.19	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Washington Nationals	76c	253.04$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.36	332	74.1%246 W · 86 L	+28.8wins	+0.09per pick	65cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	55c	249.98$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.49	514	49.2%253 W · 261 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks	34c	240$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.18	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Washington Nationals	44c	240$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.4	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Washington Nationals	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Washington Nationals	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	529	47.4%251 W · 278 L	-24.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed Washington Nationals	45c	220$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121	636	44.7%284 W · 352 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals	45c	220$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121	1,277	43.1%550 W · 727 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked Washington Nationals	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	213	47.9%102 W · 111 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Washington Nationals	45c	205$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.75	1,205	43%518 W · 687 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Washington Nationals	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	283	47.3%134 W · 149 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	467	49.5%231 W · 236 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9b…a181backed Washington Nationals	45c	177.78$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.78	205	43.9%90 W · 115 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals	46c	172.09$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.36	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Arizona Diamondbacks	53c	163.38$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.36	549	45.4%249 W · 300 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Arizona Diamondbacks	42c	163.23$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	252	55.2%139 W · 113 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Washington Nationals	50c	151.62$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.81	211	53.1%112 W · 99 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals	46c	151.07$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.07	415	49.2%204 W · 211 L	+22.2wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x062d…039bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	55c	151.05$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58ed…b2d8backed Washington Nationals	80c	150.61$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.12	12	100%12 W · 0 L	+3.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	55c	149.99$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.82	90	58.9%53 W · 37 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Arizona Diamondbacks	53c	149.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Washington Nationals	49c	149.43$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.51	163	53.4%87 W · 76 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Arizona Diamondbacks	33c	147.65$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.7	1,445	50.3%727 W · 718 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Washington Nationals	45c	144$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.2	2,045	53.8%1,100 W · 945 L	+32.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7c…84d6backed Arizona Diamondbacks	55c	142.96$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.63	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Arizona Diamondbacks	52c	142.78$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.65	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-10.5wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Washington Nationals	45c	140$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77	589	43.1%254 W · 335 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks	17c	139.76$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cc…3132backed Arizona Diamondbacks	54c	138.87$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.99	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals	45c	138.22$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.02	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1884…b7a5backed Washington Nationals	73c	136.81$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.82	577	58.6%338 W · 239 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 12.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 14.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 16.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Over won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event