Tennis · resolved market
Bengaluru 2: Manish Sureshkumar vs Ilya Ivashka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaf9d06eab586147b7ba02359398290c7c3331176e7c02ee1e17059d9f54b806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilya Ivashkaof Manish Sureshkumar, Ilya Ivashka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f2…97a6backed Ilya Ivashka | 0c | 11,640$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,628.36 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +4,380.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Ilya Ivashka | 11c | 3,049$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.68 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ilya Ivashka | 12c | 1,911$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.52 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ilya Ivashka | 18c | 1,591$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.66 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ilya Ivashka | 13c | 1,411$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.83 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Ilya Ivashka | 12c | 1,097$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.75 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Ilya Ivashka | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ilya Ivashka | 6c | 985.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.19 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Ilya Ivashka | 18c | 856.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.39 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Ilya Ivashka | 5c | 526.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.89 | 569 | 27.2%155 W · 414 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Ilya Ivashka | 14c | 478.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.62 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Ilya Ivashka | 8c | 440.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.87 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Ilya Ivashka | 7c | 427.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.71 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…6651backed Ilya Ivashka | 6c | 345.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Ilya Ivashka | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Ilya Ivashka | 12c | 294.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.19 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ilya Ivashka | 16c | 188.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.03 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Ilya Ivashka | 9c | 164.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…5104backed Ilya Ivashka | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Manish Sureshkumar | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Manish Sureshkumar | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Ilya Ivashka | 16c | 72.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.