MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48f2db75359548df03667b6acfe4020ce18b0f9527f0ca4562c17506ae399127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,098,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,103,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,098,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 628 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 270,000$172,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,799.97 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 242,500$94,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,209.87 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 234,623$49,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,270.86 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 222,222$80,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,222.08 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 180,014$97,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,719.85 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 144,443$65,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,888.1 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 65,777$29,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,177.26 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 50,000$30,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,500 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 50,000$30,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,500 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 30,654$15,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,078.18 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 30,444$17,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,290.45 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 29,073$15,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,990.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 27,666$13,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,691.3 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 25,883$10,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,454.73 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 25,446$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.34 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 20,935$7,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,607.59 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 20,685$3,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,951.48 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Kansas City Royals | 78c | 19,000$14,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,180 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 15,384$5,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,692.04 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 15,002$6,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,612.26 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,899.83 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 13,401$8,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,174.66 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…09e5backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 13,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 12,856$7,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,456.6 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 12,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 11,363$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363.28 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 11,258$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 11,153$6,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,134.34 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 10,871$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,979.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Kansas City Royals | 79c | 10,756$8,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.61 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 10,106$6,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,568.97 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 10,032$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,918.87 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 9,334$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,813.7 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 8,909$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,701.76 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…e601backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 8,833$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 7,449$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.58 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 7,254$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.95 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 6,959$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 6,945$4,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,103.76 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 6,760$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 6,563$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,265.88 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 6,347$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.2 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…d736backed Kansas City Royals | 74c | 5,961$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 5,579$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 5,567$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.37 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 5,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.78 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 5,397$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.39 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 5,392$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 5,168$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.04 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 4,981$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.47 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 4,817$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 4,770$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.79 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 4,510$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.77 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 4,500$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 4,500$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 4,500$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 4,500$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 4,390$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.77 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 4,201$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 4,120$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 4,044$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 3,870$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.97 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 3,727$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 3,727$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 3,544$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.75 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 3,518$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.18 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 3,451$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 3,443$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 3,333$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.47 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 3,189$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 3,182$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 3,059$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 2,876$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 2,857$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.64 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c9…0733backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 2,739$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals | 72c | 2,681$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.79 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 2,675$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.36 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 2,596$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.66 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 2,538$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 2,455$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 2,366$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.42 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 2,267$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 2,187$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,164$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.64 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 2,152$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 2,138$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.33 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 2,087$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…5506backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 1,991$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 1,800$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 1,784$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.66 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.