MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec1bbf66ea29bb38901de03d34c232a7aa0e5803e989d4e04dc6133301b5770b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 105,506$55,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,104.53 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 54c | 79,397$42,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,594.57 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 46c | 37,295$17,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,155.7 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 41c | 15,292$6,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,312.63 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 10,649$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,068.97 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 7,646$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.03 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 40c | 5,949$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.68 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 40c | 5,949$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.68 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 40c | 5,826$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.57 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 5,585$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.71 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 39c | 5,440$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 46c | 3,780$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.81 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 46c | 3,410$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.5 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 3,368$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.66 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.51 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Under | 46c | 3,028$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.94 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under | 31c | 3,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 55c | 2,939$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.55 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 57c | 2,334$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.95 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 2,200$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.29 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 2,083$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.01 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 57c | 2,028$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.15 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 40c | 1,959$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.69 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 1,356$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 55c | 1,166$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.58 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 46c | 1,126$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.96 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 44c | 1,107$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.3 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…f03dbacked Under | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.05 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…60b5backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 45c | 865.26$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.36 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 855.16$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.58 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 44c | 816.83$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.41 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 802.81$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under | 46c | 752.19$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked Under | 37c | 662.16$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 45c | 600$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Under | 48c | 598.88$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.46 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 45c | 594.67$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.91 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 51c | 540.51$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.85 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…2824backed Under | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 47c | 476.14$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.78 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 29c | 468.69$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.79 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 44c | 465.12$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 371.48$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 369.5$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Under | 45c | 344.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +183.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 40c | 322.65$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.06 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 80c | 280.79$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 40c | 245.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed Under | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 41c | 157.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f48…a145backed Over | 59c | 151.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 41c | 151.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Under | 46c | 147.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 45c | 144$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 49c | 129.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 40c | 115.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 44c | 113.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Under | 46c | 110.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…963fbacked Over | 59c | 101$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed Under | 45c | 99.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 59c | 94.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…2dadbacked Under | 46c | 93.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd9…be42backed Under | 28c | 89.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 40c | 86.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…77e4backed Under | 12c | 84.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf09…d342backed Under | 49c | 75.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbd…a363backed Over | 52c | 74.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 55c | 63.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Under | 44c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 55c | 57.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 22c | 55.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Under | 33c | 53.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 40c | 52.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 40c | 51.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…c8b0backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati RedsKansas City Royals won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.