TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbbd…a363

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$83.61
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.14
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$57.02
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.86
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.76
Devils vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.57
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$51.48
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$60.37
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$57.4
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$48.11
Penguins vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.68
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$82.12
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$69.19
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.67
Hurricanes vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$56.01
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$43.46
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$77.2
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$133.24
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$159.77
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$93.11
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$259.88
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.73
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$58.51
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.34
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+163.8%+$54.15
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$56.82
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$30.72
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$56.83
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$72.31
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+66.7%+$50.15
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$78.71
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$89.77
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$53.78
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37%+$18.76
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34.41
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+83.9%+$115.1
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$76.76
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$137.15
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$217.4
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$156.76
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$208.21
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$162.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Paper Rexbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$140.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$222.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+26.6%+$67.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.