TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Cincinnati Reds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,206 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfecb…19babacked Cincinnati Reds52c7,319$3,810 inLost-$3,809.8415650.6%79 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals48c5,766$2,768 inWon+$2,998.4811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals48c777.61$373 inWon+$4058,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Kansas City Royals55c571.03$316 inWon+$255.033,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Kansas City Royals45c311.11$140 inWon+$171.1111244.6%50 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals39c217.77$85 inWon+$132.6310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Cincinnati Reds61c210.95$129 inLost-$128.681637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Kansas City Royals14c167$24 inWon+$142.952,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Kansas City Royals29c70.9$21 inWon+$50.3477353.9%417 W · 356 L+35.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals43c70$30 inWon+$39.94,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds19c60.05$11 inLost-$11.418,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds58c57.98$34 inLost-$33.8912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals42c56$24 inWon+$32.486,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals60c50$30 inWon+$206,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Cincinnati Reds57c40.18$23 inLost-$22.954139%16 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cincinnati Reds43c30.87$13 inLost-$13.275,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Kansas City Royals44c25.5$11 inWon+$14.2899744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds71c23.9$17 inLost-$16.978,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Kansas City Royals62c23.68$15 inWon+$92,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kansas City Royals59c22$13 inWon+$9.021,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds64c15.81$10 inLost-$10.184,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05bc…f3ebbacked Cincinnati Reds74c14.38$11 inLost-$10.643046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.