MLB · resolved market
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cae7699bceb71faab16d12d0a226a447c1b499576bf0141a84c06cdb292080c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Cincinnati Reds, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 13,589$7,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,817.8 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 12,835$7,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,735.54 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 10,866$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 6,534$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.61 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 6,267$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.71 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 5,894$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.63 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 4,100$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 3,837$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 2,900$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.11 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,761$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.33 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 2,360$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.99 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,211$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.97 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,984$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,884$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.04 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,796$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.84 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,736$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.42 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,343$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.71 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,241$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,119$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…f03dbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,010$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 1,006$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.84 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 1,001$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.62 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.05 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 780.56$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.47 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 609.75$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 603.5$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.54 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 552.71$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.36 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 535.71$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.21 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 468.53$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.9 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 464.46$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.01 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 424$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 347.76$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 311$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…81cebacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 282.88$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 269.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.07 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 269.41$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.54 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 213.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839b…16b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 204.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 200.1$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 198.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 194.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 192$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 187.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 184.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 153.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 150.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…31cabacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 148$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…dda4backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…53bbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…764fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 119.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 109.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 108.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 108.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1a…6fc0backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 108$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c39…d10bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…16debacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 101.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati RedsKansas City Royals won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.