TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Foggia: Laura Mair vs Yiming Dang

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Laura Mairof Laura Mair, Yiming Dang
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Yiming Dang44c4,187$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.2911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x526e…ce46backed Yiming Dang37c3,925$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Laura Mair64c2,860$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.471,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yiming Dang37c2,518$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.4457842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Laura Mair58c2,243$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.966,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Laura Mair39c1,680$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.0565952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Laura Mair47c1,480$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.518,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Yiming Dang32c1,348$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.721,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Yiming Dang38c1,061$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.5510339.8%41 W · 62 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Yiming Dang34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3402,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yiming Dang51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5109,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yiming Dang62c919.31$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.024,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Laura Mair62c810.61$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6123159.3%137 W · 94 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Laura Mair66c747.98$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.095567.3%37 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Laura Mair48c710.52$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.4712852.3%67 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Laura Mair48c608.87$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.5937235.2%131 W · 241 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Laura Mair67c588.62$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.396945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Laura Mair69c571.4$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.131,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Laura Mair65c541$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1913565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Laura Mair62c539.63$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.2345744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yiming Dang38c521.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yiming Dang41c506.66$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.98,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yiming Dang51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Laura Mair62c499.99$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1911,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Yiming Dang36c499.94$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9819349.7%96 W · 97 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Laura Mair52c471.22$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.828,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Laura Mair57c414.69$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.094,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Laura Mair68c405.82$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.863,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x585e…019fbacked Laura Mair44c342.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.3810152.5%53 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yiming Dang55c342.36$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.385348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Yiming Dang41c340.7$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.124,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Yiming Dang38c313.25$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9255941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Laura Mair64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.510847.2%51 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Yiming Dang46c305.94$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.474,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Laura Mair64c288.41$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8324762.3%154 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Yiming Dang47c275.89$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8227753.4%148 W · 129 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Yiming Dang36c275.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036621.6%79 W · 287 L+1.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb457…da76backed Yiming Dang38c266.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yiming Dang30c253.85$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.285,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Laura Mair68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc110…9a30backed Yiming Dang34c241.44$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0512846.1%59 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yiming Dang57c206$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.421,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Laura Mair65c199.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7027554.9%151 W · 124 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Laura Mair47c197.56$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.442,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Laura Mair48c193.75$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7535360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Laura Mair36c186.18$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.44,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Yiming Dang54c183.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6188…0a91backed Laura Mair66c177.77$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.522070%14 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Yiming Dang72c173.61$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12536264.6%234 W · 128 L-1.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9512…a3d7backed Laura Mair65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x000b…6ffbbacked Laura Mair66c152.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yiming Dang57c150.56$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.53,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Laura Mair66c150.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.419260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e4adbacked Laura Mair67c149.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Laura Mair67c149.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.257,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yiming Dang38c149$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.281,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Yiming Dang33c147.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0485637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Yiming Dang74c135$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Yiming Dang38c130.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.013208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Yiming Dang56c124.2$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yiming Dang44c121.87$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1966834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Laura Mair49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.217436.8%64 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Laura Mair66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.847854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Yiming Dang35c115$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.252,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Laura Mair61c108.08$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.864,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa507…42b1backed Yiming Dang54c106.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.321957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Laura Mair48c104.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.299543.2%41 W · 54 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…2147backed Yiming Dang37c104.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+65.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6238…f5e9backed Laura Mair66c101.52$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Laura Mair64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367263.9%46 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa06f…cbadbacked Laura Mair64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Laura Mair49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5125751.8%133 W · 124 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…25f9backed Laura Mair66c99.38$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.792259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Laura Mair67c94$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.027,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Yiming Dang38c91.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9152557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff21…d56abacked Laura Mair67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.551573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Laura Mair65c89.08$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.182,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9360…67f0backed Laura Mair48c86.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8211249.1%55 W · 57 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Laura Mair63c86.02$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.822,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Yiming Dang36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016940.2%68 W · 101 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38f2…97a6backed Yiming Dang37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+4,380.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26a7…4fbabacked Yiming Dang35c80.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.067428.4%21 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Laura Mair64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.814752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Yiming Dang38c79.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Laura Mair39c75.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.141,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Yiming Dang40c73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3351339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec0…493abacked Laura Mair64c70.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.312673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89d4…dcfcbacked Yiming Dang39c66.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Laura Mair62c65.89$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0216354%88 W · 75 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Laura Mair61c60.64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.656,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Laura Mair27c57.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9119531.3%61 W · 134 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fad…58c5backed Laura Mair66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.034158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b2…abf1backed Laura Mair66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.036653%35 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f16…26a6backed Yiming Dang38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Laura Mair48c51.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8173648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Laura Mair65c51.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.91233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Laura Mair66c50.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.199374.2%69 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Laura Mair70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158158%47 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Laura Mair41c46.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4430544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Yiming Dang70c46.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5647274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.