TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3ec0…493a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tyler: Murphy Cassone vs Yuta Shimizubacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$23.67
ITF Wuning: Yexin Ma vs Xinxin Yaobacked Yexin Ma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$31.5
Foggia: Laura Mair vs Yiming Dangbacked Laura Mair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$25.31
Birmingham: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$42.39
Birmingham: Tristan Schoolkate vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$30.91
Prostejov: Miguel Damas vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$25.67
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
ITF Wuning: Wushuang Zheng vs Yuhan Wangbacked Wushuang Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$25.26
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ITF Brcko: Josip Simundza vs Matyas Fuelebacked Matyas Fuele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
ITF Bol: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Valentina Ivanovbacked Aurora Zantedeschi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.42
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tienbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Vicenza: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Jacopo Vasami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.36
Little Rock: Fajing Sun vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Chisinau: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Sumit Nagalbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.84
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarrobacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.19
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.53
ITF Luan: Qian Sun vs Lachlan Mcfadzeanbacked Qian Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Toronto Marliesbacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$17.77
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Jaqueline Amorim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.