Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brcko: Josip Simundza vs Matyas Fuele
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x887582e1c6f4404817027998e2a0b8e7f30116d959451aea69eedfdd3f48fc82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Josip Simundzaof Josip Simundza, Matyas Fuele
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Matyas Fuele | 29c | 8,711$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.3 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Matyas Fuele | 21c | 6,007$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.68 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Josip Simundza | 67c | 3,990$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.17 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Josip Simundza | 76c | 2,618$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.83 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Josip Simundza | 71c | 2,009$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.59 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Josip Simundza | 72c | 1,988$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.64 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Josip Simundza | 71c | 1,951$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.21 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Josip Simundza | 69c | 1,309$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.14 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Matyas Fuele | 31c | 903.21$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.45 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Matyas Fuele | 28c | 740.27$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.67 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Josip Simundza | 72c | 680.27$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.96 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Josip Simundza | 74c | 490$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Matyas Fuele | 22c | 470.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Josip Simundza | 67c | 425$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.01 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Josip Simundza | 76c | 412.13$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Josip Simundza | 73c | 405$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Matyas Fuele | 55c | 398.42$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Matyas Fuele | 26c | 370$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matyas Fuele | 24c | 293.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matyas Fuele | 31c | 263.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Matyas Fuele | 26c | 208.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Matyas Fuele | 34c | 208.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Josip Simundza | 46c | 196.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Matyas Fuele | 54c | 182.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked Matyas Fuele | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Josip Simundza | 68c | 177.79$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Matyas Fuele | 49c | 138.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Matyas Fuele | 36c | 131.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Matyas Fuele | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Josip Simundza | 45c | 102.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Josip Simundza | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Josip Simundza | 68c | 98.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…493abacked Matyas Fuele | 58c | 79.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Josip Simundza | 69c | 65.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…7ef2backed Josip Simundza | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Josip Simundza | 67c | 57.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Matyas Fuele | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Matyas Fuele | 39c | 55.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Josip Simundza | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Josip Simundza | 46c | 49.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Matyas Fuele | 41c | 46.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Matyas Fuele | 54c | 46.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Matyas Fuele | 38c | 39.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Josip Simundza | 67c | 39.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Matyas Fuele | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Josip Simundza | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Matyas Fuele | 54c | 34.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Josip Simundza | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Matyas Fuele | 40c | 31.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Josip Simundza | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Josip Simundza | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked Josip Simundza | 67c | 22.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f6…6594backed Josip Simundza | 58c | 22.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Josip Simundza | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Josip Simundza | 65c | 19.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Josip Simundza | 68c | 19.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Josip Simundza | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Josip Simundza | 65c | 18.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Josip Simundza | 73c | 16.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 336 | 61.3%206 W · 130 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.