Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fennel vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5e314114433d15f00ea83d9699660c18f9529d3594c9181ca9b7f10cfa8c9c3

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: QT DIG∞of Fennel, QT DIG∞
Resolved: Jun 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,544 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x65c1…2988backed QT DIG∞	54c	19,393$10,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,998.05	255	54.9%140 W · 115 L	+13.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed Fennel	25c	5,000$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Fennel	56c	3,513$1,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,967.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Fennel	56c	1,607$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Fennel	56c	1,406$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.49	158	43%68 W · 90 L	-12.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed QT DIG∞	44c	1,000$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c48…eba9backed QT DIG∞	43c	929.98$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.09	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x384d…d922backed Fennel	48c	787.17$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Fennel	55c	781.96$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.08	333	48.3%161 W · 172 L	+13.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Fennel	56c	752.84$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.59	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa5b…7650backed Fennel	56c	624.76$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.64	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Fennel	50c	561.01$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.06	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Fennel	56c	559.43$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.28	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Fennel	56c	529.11$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.3	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1052…441bbacked QT DIG∞	62c	515.6$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.58	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	58cpaid	+20%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae10…09e3backed Fennel	56c	509.93$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.56	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Fennel	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked QT DIG∞	73c	467.26$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.16	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	62cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fennel	30c	372.03$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.07	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Fennel	56c	357.96$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.46	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Fennel	51c	333.94$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.45	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked QT DIG∞	41c	308.82$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.11	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Fennel	56c	280.7$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.19	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e9…b2e0backed Fennel	56c	267.66$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.89	24	79.2%19 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	70cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Fennel	56c	212.07$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.76	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37db…dff4backed QT DIG∞	44c	212.06$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.31	80	50%40 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Fennel	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	134	55.2%74 W · 60 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca39…6158backed QT DIG∞	74c	200$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.41	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Fennel	56c	193.68$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.46	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fennel	28c	189.66$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.57	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fennel	33c	183.86$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.53	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Fennel	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	104	60.6%63 W · 41 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Fennel	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	231	51.9%120 W · 111 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Fennel	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	628	56.4%354 W · 274 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9467…98fbbacked Fennel	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c7…668abacked Fennel	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Fennel	56c	175.88$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.49	115	64.3%74 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b80…e5dfbacked Fennel	56c	170.5$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.48	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Fennel	57c	162.65$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.71	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24dc…25abbacked Fennel	56c	156.09$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.41	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Fennel	24c	149.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	237	33.8%80 W · 157 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Fennel	56c	148.21$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x741a…ea3ebacked Fennel	56c	142.86$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	59cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked QT DIG∞	46c	124.22$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.22	152	32.9%50 W · 102 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked Fennel	56c	115.61$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.74	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Fennel	55c	110$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.5	252	45.2%114 W · 138 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed QT DIG∞	45c	110$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.5	430	59.8%257 W · 173 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Fennel	56c	107.14$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	130	43.1%56 W · 74 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed QT DIG∞	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	152	55.9%85 W · 67 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3c0…28f8backed Fennel	57c	103.51$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked QT DIG∞	45c	101.67$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.92	337	53.1%179 W · 158 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9311…e731backed Fennel	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed QT DIG∞	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	220	47.7%105 W · 115 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec0…493abacked Fennel	57c	87.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked QT DIG∞	49c	85$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.3	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ea…863dbacked Fennel	28c	84.48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Fennel	56c	79.27$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.39	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed Fennel	55c	72.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	132	43.2%57 W · 75 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Fennel	57c	70.18$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	84	54.8%46 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Fennel	29c	69.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	306	52.3%160 W · 146 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed QT DIG∞	80c	68.81$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.81	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d0…028abacked QT DIG∞	45c	62.22$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.22	36	63.9%23 W · 13 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec17…5c42backed Fennel	45c	61.03$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b9…e2debacked Fennel	56c	58.2$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacff…3872backed Fennel	56c	51.71$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.96	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e2…bd26backed Fennel	56c	50.89$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Fennel	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	278	47.1%131 W · 147 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed QT DIG∞	45c	44.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b8a…8f29backed Fennel	56c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc666…8d00backed QT DIG∞	49c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	-8.0wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5539…19f8backed Fennel	56c	39.29$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed QT DIG∞	44c	38$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.28	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Fennel	72c	37.5$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	70cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d23…fcdfbacked Fennel	56c	35.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fennel	54c	35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	601	54.2%326 W · 275 L	+24.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ab…3872backed Fennel	62c	31.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked QT DIG∞	45c	31.11$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.11	117	54.7%64 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Fennel	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Fennel	53c	25.76$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.72	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked QT DIG∞	73c	25.36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.85	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8bf…db0abacked Fennel	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed QT DIG∞	45c	23.31$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.82	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94f5…1d29backed Fennel	53c	22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Fennel	56c	21.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+23%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56d5…2c23backed QT DIG∞	73c	20.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.55	113	67.3%76 W · 37 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	72cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked QT DIG∞	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	345	71%245 W · 100 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef9…7a60backed QT DIG∞	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Fennel vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagethis page
Valorant: Fennel vs QT DIG∞ - Map 1 WinnerQT DIG∞ won
Valorant: Fennel vs QT DIG∞ - Map 2 WinnerQT DIG∞ won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Fennel vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event