Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fennel vs QT DIG∞ - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ed9eb4c366e878dc21097a7a1993616ea53e4599b12d45f8e2f18f819ef07b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QT DIG∞of Fennel, QT DIG∞
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Fennel | 33c | 649.54$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.64 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QT DIG∞ | 59c | 508.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked QT DIG∞ | 58c | 279.46$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce9…c3ccbacked Fennel | 8c | 187.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…0118backed QT DIG∞ | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fennel | 37c | 97.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked QT DIG∞ | 63c | 79.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked QT DIG∞ | 74c | 59.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed Fennel | 36c | 53.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…2397backed Fennel | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c4…9991backed QT DIG∞ | 67c | 34.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed QT DIG∞ | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Fennel | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked QT DIG∞ | 63c | 23.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…943ebacked Fennel | 53c | 23.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked QT DIG∞ | 58c | 17.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fennel vs QT DIG∞ - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Fennel vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCL Japan Main StageQT DIG∞ won
- Valorant: Fennel vs QT DIG∞ - Map 1 WinnerQT DIG∞ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.