TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hong Kong, Chinaof Hong Kong, China, Bahrain
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,696 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93a0…6623backed Bahrain34c3,516$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.612540%10 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bahrain24c2,318$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.5757337.3%214 W · 359 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Bahrain27c2,017$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.0711637.9%44 W · 72 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ff…9708backed Bahrain44c1,879$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.632544%11 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0646…ad17backed Bahrain7c1,690$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2632715.9%52 W · 275 L+14.4wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+74.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2cd…820fbacked Bahrain21c1,548$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9118729.4%55 W · 132 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Hong Kong, China77c1,403$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Hong Kong, China66c1,288$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8746147.7%220 W · 241 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Hong Kong, China78c1,024$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Bahrain16c957.7$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.997317.8%13 W · 60 L-0.3wins0.00per pick18cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Bahrain22c946.63$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.4168231.2%213 W · 469 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Bahrain33c907.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017155.6%95 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce2…d48cbacked Bahrain38c861.48$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.6418745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Hong Kong, China66c833.33$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.3349647%233 W · 263 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82e5…7e2fbacked Hong Kong, China65c789.61$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.364468.2%30 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x758e…f824backed Hong Kong, China78c772.79$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.79875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Bahrain8c721.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2131027.4%85 W · 225 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Hong Kong, China68c716.61$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.3810963.3%69 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Hong Kong, China73c650.8$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5827129.5%80 W · 191 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad4…f62bbacked Bahrain39c539.03$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21011741%48 W · 69 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Bahrain8c509.41$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.132240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Bahrain20c500.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.085058%29 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04a…7cffbacked Bahrain40c500$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19910947.7%52 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Hong Kong, China78c446.65$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7310539%41 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb45f…4fd4backed Bahrain30c436.23$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-72%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Hong Kong, China78c405$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883372.7%24 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Hong Kong, China79c370.67$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6610356.3%58 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…c67cbacked Hong Kong, China65c355.68$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Hong Kong, China80c333$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.97475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…a6edbacked Bahrain13c325.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435822.4%13 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x115e…5019backed Hong Kong, China64c321.21$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.921788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+31.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bahrain44c306.16$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0439644.2%175 W · 221 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f18…9e52backed Bahrain35c300.06$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.233754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+39.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x404a…575dbacked Bahrain7c299.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9210552.4%55 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…ff78backed Bahrain28c291.09$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Bahrain49c288$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eac…9b93backed Bahrain6c285.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa06f…cbadbacked Hong Kong, China65c279.98$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0136…8e5dbacked Hong Kong, China64c272.1$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.26439.1%25 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Hong Kong, China66c255.76$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.963246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eeb…89cebacked Bahrain8c255.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e4…757dbacked Bahrain28c250$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4a…9d39backed Bahrain17c220.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9914141.8%59 W · 82 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cab…f49abacked Bahrain32c220$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.416043.1%69 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Hong Kong, China68c211.18$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.347436.5%27 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Hong Kong, China60c210.12$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Bahrain32c209.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Hong Kong, China51c209.33$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.344360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5df…0f22backed Bahrain34c203.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57bc…c211backed Bahrain8c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51118.2%2 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccce…58dabacked Hong Kong, China65c198.35$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5713…a086backed Hong Kong, China64c192.62$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.479048.9%44 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5987…e287backed Hong Kong, China58c188.95$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6410948.6%53 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Hong Kong, China61c188.52$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.562272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Hong Kong, China73c182.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1517560%105 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x765d…2e22backed Bahrain46c161.84$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.72850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32bb…8addbacked Hong Kong, China59c161.59$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Hong Kong, China66c154.35$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Hong Kong, China65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5212939.5%51 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Bahrain18c146.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.942725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2dc…f9d3backed Bahrain38c130.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.099445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c23…ed23backed Hong Kong, China77c129.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5e7…8b25backed Hong Kong, China79c126.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b7…e26bbacked Hong Kong, China60c116.71$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2310842.6%46 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee6d…0c24backed Bahrain28c113.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6821136%76 W · 135 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Hong Kong, China66c112.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8938048.2%183 W · 197 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a57…913fbacked Hong Kong, China61c110.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.129151.9%151 W · 140 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x381b…6270backed Bahrain21c109.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.13158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x797b…3a78backed Bahrain38c104.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x173c…a5aabacked Hong Kong, China73c102.12$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.641190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick63cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5353…51b9backed Hong Kong, China53c100.6$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Hong Kong, China65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe23e…34d2backed Bahrain24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.213641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae4…b563backed Bahrain50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507136.6%26 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Hong Kong, China67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333865.8%25 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Hong Kong, China73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…b02fbacked Bahrain29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Hong Kong, China51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Bahrain40c99.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011169.4%77 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37f1…19a0backed Hong Kong, China63c99.01$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe28…3c60backed Hong Kong, China79c95.48$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4819843.4%86 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a7…1849backed Bahrain30c94.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c0…d9cfbacked Bahrain55c91.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022843.9%100 W · 128 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91c9…a5b4backed Hong Kong, China68c88.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2c…227dbacked Bahrain38c86.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5891…4912backed Hong Kong, China67c85.18$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8c…b4c3backed Bahrain30c82.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.86922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Hong Kong, China61c82.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e5…f52cbacked Hong Kong, China61c81.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe99b…d599backed Hong Kong, China63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.620251.5%104 W · 98 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa9…513ebacked Hong Kong, China63c72.56$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Hong Kong, China67c62.13$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Bahrain35c61.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.413171%22 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80c6…6660backed Bahrain54c60.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.822119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-53.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x190e…e9c9backed Hong Kong, China76c60.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.67580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7160…dfbdbacked Bahrain34c59.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205749.1%28 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43fe…26eebacked Hong Kong, China57c58.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1247061.5%289 W · 181 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e92…d3d6backed Hong Kong, China71c55.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.912259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec0…493abacked Hong Kong, China76c53.95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d2…1facbacked Bahrain29c51.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.123145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.