MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x219a46b65fa82394ca4eb6a4aaef12689fba9ca2ad957842ff9730c1af1916be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,487,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,545,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,487,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 700 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 226,725$144,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,345.58 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 205,882$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135,882.11 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 155,170$55,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,432.81 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 68c | 155,000$106,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,019.91 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 151,469$52,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,766.84 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 58c | 132,541$77,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,425.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 61,214$25,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,319.83 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed New York Yankees | 40c | 52,142$20,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,931.41 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 46,159$16,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,541.45 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed New York Yankees | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,800 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed New York Yankees | 64c | 28,900$18,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,496 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed New York Yankees | 66c | 25,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 24,819$12,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,514.74 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 20,000$10,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,668.67 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 16,983$9,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,132.76 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 66c | 16,875$11,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,217.39 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 13,978$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,857.97 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed New York Yankees | 67c | 13,777$9,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,230.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 13,564$5,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,597.34 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 65c | 13,298$8,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,583.68 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 12,091$7,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,734.94 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 11,930$7,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,749.2 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 70c | 11,164$7,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,814.7 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed New York Yankees | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed New York Yankees | 11c | 9,117$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.56 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 66c | 8,999$5,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,939.27 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 8,895$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,781.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed New York Yankees | 67c | 8,467$5,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,672.93 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 8,254$5,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,325.03 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 8,057$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,478.76 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees | 66c | 7,575$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.5 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 6,944$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,444.44 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Yankees | 67c | 6,680$4,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.72 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Yankees | 66c | 6,648$4,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,388 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 59c | 6,561$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 6,111$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.11 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 6,011$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,010.89 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 5,590$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.92 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed New York Yankees | 68c | 5,500$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 5,265$4,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.07 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 49c | 5,083$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.88 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.94 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 4,603$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.25 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 4,473$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.22 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed New York Yankees | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.99 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 3,973$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.9 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed New York Yankees | 66c | 3,811$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 3,671$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.72 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees | 55c | 3,538$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.01 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…ce46backed New York Yankees | 41c | 3,505$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 45c | 3,384$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 3,242$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.01 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Yankees | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 68c | 2,987$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.23 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,829$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.7 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 2,751$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.72 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 2,697$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.97 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,650$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.16 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 2,543$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.47 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed New York Yankees | 67c | 2,507$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.74 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 2,484$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.92 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 2,366$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.59 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 2,319$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.25 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 67c | 2,046$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.07 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed New York Yankees | 66c | 2,045$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 2,007$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.37 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…a618backed New York Yankees | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed New York Yankees | 61c | 1,962$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,884$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.02 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed New York Yankees | 67c | 1,800$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.43 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 1,800$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 1,690$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.24 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 51c | 1,668$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.58 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,666$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.95 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked New York Yankees | 68c | 1,643$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.26 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 1,622$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.52 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 1,620$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.97 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 1,603$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.69 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 1,580$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.49 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed New York Yankees | 46c | 1,517$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed New York Yankees | 1c | 1,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 1,468$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.64 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked New York Yankees | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed New York Yankees | 66c | 1,413$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.29 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,350$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.08 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed New York Yankees | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2b…9030backed New York Yankees | 69c | 1,304$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed New York Yankees | 66c | 1,276$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 1,250$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,175$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.95 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed New York Yankees | 1c | 1,159$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 1,139$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.24 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed New York Yankees | 66c | 1,139$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed New York Yankees | 67c | 1,108$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.62 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…7031backed New York Yankees | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +65%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 13.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.