MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82dc7929f65b290d200024a83c33671dbbaeb6358373f813340d3113f88689cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 53c | 51,531$27,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,199.07 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 28,757$13,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,241.34 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 10,804$5,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,834.29 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 10,326$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,523.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 6,845$3,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.51 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 47c | 6,625$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.87 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 4,781$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.27 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 54c | 2,315$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 47c | 2,000$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.77 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 1,673$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.32 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 1,582$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.86 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 1,557$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.07 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 47c | 1,532$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.21 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 46c | 1,389$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.9 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 1,350$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 52c | 1,220$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.57 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 1,200$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.08 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 1,136$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 1,103$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.51 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,057$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.59 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 49c | 1,056$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 999.99$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.28 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 59c | 966.74$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.34 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 46c | 607.21$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.8 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 51c | 530.35$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.7 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 517.17$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.27 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 369.66$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 329.09$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.71 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 52c | 219.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…cba0backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 79c | 198.62$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 186.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…2dd8backed Under | 54c | 184.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 61c | 180$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 46c | 178.77$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 169.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 54c | 153.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 146$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 23c | 115$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…2760backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 54c | 101.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 54c | 101.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 47c | 82.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce6…ba8bbacked Over | 49c | 76.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 54c | 73.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 51c | 68.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Under | 26c | 66.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf35backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…c459backed Under | 51c | 56.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 53c | 52.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0281…f0debacked Under | 54c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 43c | 45.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 44.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 54c | 43.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 42c | 40.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7e77backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c4…6a45backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Over | 49c | 30.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…40cebacked Over | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 54c | 26.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 77c | 26.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 72c | 26.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 79c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7870…7f43backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 54c | 20.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 20.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York YankeesCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 13.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.