MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaa0ac031f1beb8285e966ae67a2d81c387f16ebb49f306aa160273e2941583e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof New York Yankees, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 62,331$32,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,918.89 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 48c | 50,665$24,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,462.49 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 20,000$9,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,929.99 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 47c | 19,355$9,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,178.02 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 16,125$8,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,150.59 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 11,695$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,496.46 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 11,248$5,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,762.43 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 8,512$4,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.33 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 5,400$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.77 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Yankees | 50c | 5,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Yankees | 47c | 3,790$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.28 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 37c | 3,132$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.61 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,999$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.68 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed New York Yankees | 51c | 2,304$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.13 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed New York Yankees | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked New York Yankees | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 2,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Yankees | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 49c | 1,845$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed New York Yankees | 48c | 1,817$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.14 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 48c | 1,589$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,473$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.92 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,421$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,398$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.79 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 1,343$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.78 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees | 50c | 1,240$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.5 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,217$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.13 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,197$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.38 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees | 45c | 1,114$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.36 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 912.09$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.43 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 881$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.12 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 49c | 814.31$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.93 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23c…07cebacked New York Yankees | 49c | 717.08$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 628.97$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 625$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed New York Yankees | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 559.18$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.18 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed New York Yankees | 47c | 549.5$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.27 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 518.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.31 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed New York Yankees | 48c | 333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed New York Yankees | 52c | 314.87$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.73 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed New York Yankees | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed New York Yankees | 50c | 309.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 301.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Yankees | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.39 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 47c | 298.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.47 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 234.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…4ee0backed New York Yankees | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed New York Yankees | 47c | 206.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked New York Yankees | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed New York Yankees | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked New York Yankees | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 167.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed New York Yankees | 48c | 164.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed New York Yankees | 47c | 159.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 151.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed New York Yankees | 52c | 150.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Yankees | 46c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7757…b165backed New York Yankees | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…ae24backed New York Yankees | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 137.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed New York Yankees | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 124.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed New York Yankees | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 111.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 101.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed New York Yankees | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed New York Yankees | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 77.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 74.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1074…a25dbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 73.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 73.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 70.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked New York Yankees | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 62.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…bfe9backed New York Yankees | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed New York Yankees | 51c | 60.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Yankees | 47c | 59.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Yankees | 50c | 59.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked New York Yankees | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed New York Yankees | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York YankeesCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 13.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.