Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Yexin Ma vs Xinxin Yao
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf33e6940add7b512e9584608fb19a0b80e29a7dff121affbc0332b9993d05796
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xinxin Yaoof Yexin Ma, Xinxin Yao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yexin Ma | 49c | 1,998$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.65 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Xinxin Yao | 54c | 1,830$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.91 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Xinxin Yao | 40c | 1,401$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.82 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Xinxin Yao | 67c | 1,143$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.51 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Yexin Ma | 63c | 1,099$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.87 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Yexin Ma | 57c | 1,045$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xinxin Yao | 40c | 833.33$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Xinxin Yao | 42c | 702.6$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.21 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yexin Ma | 57c | 696.55$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Xinxin Yao | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yexin Ma | 46c | 559.16$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.92 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…7fe1backed Yexin Ma | 46c | 510$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.6 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Yexin Ma | 55c | 365.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c68…d4f2backed Yexin Ma | 62c | 304.98$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yexin Ma | 34c | 291.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yexin Ma | 55c | 216.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Xinxin Yao | 43c | 184.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Yexin Ma | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…4b2fbacked Xinxin Yao | 44c | 141.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Yexin Ma | 34c | 131.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Xinxin Yao | 38c | 129.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Yexin Ma | 54c | 111.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yexin Ma | 53c | 108.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Yexin Ma | 56c | 104.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yexin Ma | 56c | 101.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Xinxin Yao | 47c | 96.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Xinxin Yao | 66c | 94.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Xinxin Yao | 39c | 89.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Yexin Ma | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…493abacked Yexin Ma | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yexin Ma | 15c | 81.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Yexin Ma | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441f…8954backed Yexin Ma | 40c | 80.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yexin Ma | 22c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Xinxin Yao | 41c | 79.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Xinxin Yao | 46c | 75.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yexin Ma | 54c | 72.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yexin Ma | 56c | 68.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Yexin Ma | 42c | 67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Yexin Ma | 61c | 65.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Xinxin Yao | 61c | 65.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e61…bf37backed Yexin Ma | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdb…d324backed Yexin Ma | 56c | 55.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yexin Ma | 57c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Xinxin Yao | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Yexin Ma | 26c | 42.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Yexin Ma | 66c | 37.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Yexin Ma | 54c | 36.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 209 | 57.9%121 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yexin Ma | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Xinxin Yao | 62c | 31.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Yexin Ma | 60c | 31.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Xinxin Yao | 54c | 30.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Xinxin Yao | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Xinxin Yao | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Xinxin Yao | 49c | 26.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Xinxin Yao | 57c | 25.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Xinxin Yao | 45c | 24.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Yexin Ma | 57c | 23.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Xinxin Yao | 44c | 22.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Xinxin Yao | 77c | 14.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.