TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Otto Virtanenof Zhizhen Zhang, Otto Virtanen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,405 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Zhizhen Zhang12c13,154$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.218,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x526e…ce46backed Zhizhen Zhang41c7,192$2,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,976.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9e…1997backed Zhizhen Zhang45c6,108$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.0350%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Zhizhen Zhang2c5,012$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.556,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Zhizhen Zhang45c3,580$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.8733342.6%142 W · 191 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Otto Virtanen66c3,159$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.6128039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Zhizhen Zhang11c2,923$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31118445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Otto Virtanen68c2,385$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.038,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Zhizhen Zhang1c2,100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121117.5%37 W · 174 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Otto Virtanen72c2,088$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.331,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Otto Virtanen57c1,732$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.474,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Otto Virtanen73c1,621$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.545,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Zhizhen Zhang37c1,592$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.571,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Otto Virtanen65c1,231$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.7750458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Otto Virtanen60c1,167$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.461,84244.8%825 W · 1,017 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Zhizhen Zhang35c1,137$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.8657842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Zhizhen Zhang20c1,130$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0457321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Otto Virtanen65c1,100$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.936426.6%17 W · 47 L-10.3wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-57.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Zhizhen Zhang36c1,085$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.5512739.4%50 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf35a…ce87backed Zhizhen Zhang20c1,072$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.194818.8%9 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Zhizhen Zhang1c1,017$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.982,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Zhizhen Zhang40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40033438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Otto Virtanen58c963.45$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.373,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Otto Virtanen77c962.22$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.084,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Zhizhen Zhang35c938.26$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.391,47435.1%518 W · 956 L-14.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Zhizhen Zhang17c883.25$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.651,10145.1%497 W · 604 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68ad…a26ebacked Zhizhen Zhang1c859.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42200%0 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Zhizhen Zhang14c798.71$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8242125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Otto Virtanen65c740.19$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.2979855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc508…f6b5backed Otto Virtanen63c697.97$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.255556.4%31 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…d021backed Zhizhen Zhang38c642.66$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Otto Virtanen62c580.65$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.6515261.2%93 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Zhizhen Zhang21c576.19$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Otto Virtanen67c564$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1224762.3%154 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Otto Virtanen77c546.12$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.312,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Zhizhen Zhang21c535.65$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.232,07944.4%923 W · 1,156 L-52.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Zhizhen Zhang38c518.28$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1566938.9%260 W · 409 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Otto Virtanen80c483.26$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.651,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x851c…dafdbacked Zhizhen Zhang38c468.96$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…8ee7backed Zhizhen Zhang8c461.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Otto Virtanen66c447.76$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.241,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zhizhen Zhang29c421.64$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.898,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Otto Virtanen62c413.41$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.111,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Otto Virtanen61c406.1$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3347854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Zhizhen Zhang36c326$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.24,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Otto Virtanen65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692,05659.5%1,224 W · 832 L-0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Otto Virtanen66c300.8$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.378540.6%319 W · 466 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Zhizhen Zhang37c298.11$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6258745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Zhizhen Zhang26c290$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.846,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Zhizhen Zhang34c284.22$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.011,15144.4%511 W · 640 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5353…51b9backed Zhizhen Zhang38c261.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+50.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Otto Virtanen55c260$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.887,10049.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L+107.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Zhizhen Zhang22c257.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.583737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcfc7…2a87backed Zhizhen Zhang39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Zhizhen Zhang39c254.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Zhizhen Zhang37c246.29$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.581,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Otto Virtanen72c236.29$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.191,92055.4%1,064 W · 856 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Zhizhen Zhang42c231.88$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8543547.4%206 W · 229 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Zhizhen Zhang22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013743.1%59 W · 78 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Otto Virtanen63c224.5$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.061,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed Zhizhen Zhang12c212.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+13%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Otto Virtanen60c208.5$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831,84445.7%843 W · 1,001 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Otto Virtanen56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8839751.4%204 W · 193 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Zhizhen Zhang5c196.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.273,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Otto Virtanen65c190.38$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Zhizhen Zhang37c189.57$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1434847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Otto Virtanen65c184.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6240554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Otto Virtanen59c178.04$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0538446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Otto Virtanen63c158.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6279356.2%446 W · 347 L-2.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Zhizhen Zhang43c155.11$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6785637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Otto Virtanen65c153.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.846,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Otto Virtanen65c150$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5352557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…2147backed Zhizhen Zhang40c147.03$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.22360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+65.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Zhizhen Zhang39c143.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5670456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Zhizhen Zhang40c141.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9751339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Zhizhen Zhang36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038854.1%210 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Zhizhen Zhang36c135.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.862,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Otto Virtanen56c133.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.025,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Zhizhen Zhang38c131.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509543.2%41 W · 54 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f1…f937backed Zhizhen Zhang38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe05…c67cbacked Otto Virtanen63c131.42$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.423540%14 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Zhizhen Zhang38c130.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.627528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Zhizhen Zhang37c128.58$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4821533.5%72 W · 143 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2b…d4eabacked Otto Virtanen64c126.17$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.912171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Zhizhen Zhang33c125.39$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3856827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Zhizhen Zhang40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Otto Virtanen58c118.16$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6337645.7%172 W · 204 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Otto Virtanen80c113.75$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7560562.8%380 W · 225 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Otto Virtanen56c109$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482450%12 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Otto Virtanen60c104.49$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6420259.4%120 W · 82 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Zhizhen Zhang37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,54049.2%758 W · 782 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef9…6e00backed Zhizhen Zhang33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5558…925dbacked Otto Virtanen62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84a7…4069backed Zhizhen Zhang20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202556%14 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Zhizhen Zhang40c96.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392,33246.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdba…aa96backed Otto Virtanen64c90.2$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.472263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec0…493abacked Otto Virtanen64c87.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.52673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x871a…7be4backed Otto Virtanen64c85.94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.942161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Zhizhen Zhang31c85.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5833352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed Zhizhen Zhang37c83.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.071741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.