MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc4e311005805e09422c981a3e75732b0506159ca0c31672f7f1b3b0f84ec181
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 49c | 216,685$106,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,175.72 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 51c | 196,078$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,078.17 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 52c | 12,172$6,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,842.73 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 8,801$4,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,390.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 7,117$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.3 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 50c | 5,528$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.75 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 5,364$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.85 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 50c | 5,337$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.43 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.97 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Under | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 4,333$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.46 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 4,170$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.78 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 49c | 4,009$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.26 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 3,942$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.81 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 3,942$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.81 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Over | 43c | 3,547$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.35 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 41c | 3,150$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.5 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 61c | 2,700$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 51c | 2,192$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.22 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.97 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 1,916$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 49c | 1,909$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.52 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 52c | 1,898$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.88 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 1,768$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.13 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,642$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.67 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 1,284$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.31 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 49c | 1,267$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.42 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 28c | 1,239$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.51 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 1,164$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.12 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,062$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.46 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Under | 52c | 986.71$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.62 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Under | 59c | 829.07$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.98 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 51c | 658.91$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.87 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Under | 52c | 624.56$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.79 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e7…2ecfbacked Over | 48c | 609.5$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked Under | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 49c | 584$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.16 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 546.93$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 49c | 543.59$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.47 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Over | 49c | 516.02$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 515.7$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 486.6$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Over | 50c | 482.45$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.49 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Over | 45c | 446.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 48c | 414$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.72 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 13c | 408.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Under | 52c | 403.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Under | 52c | 383.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.22 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 52c | 381.69$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.21 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Under | 53c | 378.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.39 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 376.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 51c | 348.24$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.12 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 52c | 340$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 26c | 278.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Under | 52c | 277.37$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.14 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 76c | 236$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 228.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 49c | 224.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 50c | 219.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 52c | 213.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 25c | 205.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Under | 52c | 199.38$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 51c | 196.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Over | 49c | 187$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 185.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 77c | 177$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…365abacked Over | 49c | 171.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Under | 52c | 171.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 49c | 162$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Over | 49c | 148.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 15c | 134.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 13c | 127.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Under | 51c | 126$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 40c | 124.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Under | 52c | 122.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…c755backed Under | 52c | 119$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 49c | 116$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 40c | 105.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed Over | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Under | 48c | 103.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5this page
- New York Mets vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.