TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs43c36,782$15,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,921.36,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks56c31,587$17,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,019.5855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Spurs44c30,000$13,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,145.6114538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs44c22,819$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,80018651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Knicks59c12,725$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,225.215646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs48c8,437$4,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,055.3310944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Knicks56c7,238$4,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,184.5426753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks57c6,694$3,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.9225352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1350…f908backed Spurs44c5,085$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.591353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spurs44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20016633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks56c4,708$2,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.5262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Knicks57c4,035$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.0940451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs21c3,026$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Spurs41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Knicks58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks55c2,793$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.0628056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks57c2,600$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.641,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs42c2,573$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.334,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Knicks58c2,564$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.9243438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Knicks57c2,454$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.714148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks56c2,276$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.3552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks56c2,112$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.4264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84018643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Knicks56c1,734$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.264452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x684b…a1fabacked Knicks56c1,295$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.05977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick40cpaid+148.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xed02…85f7backed Knicks59c1,186$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.442171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Spurs3c1,057$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8619246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.3966352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Knicks57c1,030$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.93056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Knicks52c1,022$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.3465649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Knicks56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44011145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs42c967.23$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.911,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks58c802.95$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.242,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Knicks57c750$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.514039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Knicks58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25268944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Spurs43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2584839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks57c600$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.28355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Spurs41c588.91$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.7223742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7113161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Knicks58c534.48$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.485964.4%38 W · 21 L+9.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Knicks57c518.98$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4517247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76a…c797backed Knicks57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+139.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks57c460.05$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.612146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17218653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks47c388.7$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0115246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs53c381.42$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.151,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d64…26cebacked Knicks58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks56c339.53$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.394,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Knicks57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12915961%97 W · 62 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs8c297$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks57c280$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5560049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Spurs43c256$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0810447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs42c254.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.130448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Spurs42c250$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.256043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks56c240$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x638e…a81bbacked Spurs49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks56c196.77$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.981,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs49c191.2$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.615044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b4…73cdbacked Knicks56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Knicks58c178$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.765349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Knicks58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Knicks59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4914046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Knicks57c158.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8334850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Spurs41c158.61$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.031,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Spurs10c147$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.762144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs42c128$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.242,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Spurs42c119$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.982748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Spurs44c118$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.928353%44 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Spurs44c114.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.44344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs44c108.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Knicks63c103$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.351883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs21c100.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4325150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad42…e38fbacked Knicks78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4db7…1cabbacked Spurs42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405650%28 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spurs15c90$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Knicks57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc487…ee54backed Knicks58c85.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f5…1d29backed Knicks57c82.05$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.371593.3%14 W · 1 L+6.5wins+0.44per pick50cpaid+92.5%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xcb7b…9825backed Knicks61c81.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.342378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+52.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Spurs42c79.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa2a…b44dbacked Knicks62c78.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Spurs46c78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs28c69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.321,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks57c67.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Knicks59c66.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.133249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Spurs50c63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.523051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Spurs43c61.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.677152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs49c60.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9212150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938a…e0edbacked Spurs42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.25352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Spurs43c58.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.220946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Knicks53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.610757%61 W · 46 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs43c52.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8116…815ebacked Knicks57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.636264.5%40 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Spurs28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1425045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ed…db97backed Spurs39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.58534.1%29 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Knicks54c45.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9925340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Spurs42c45.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1927251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.