NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa2bb9a77f521a01ff75941b15a56d53fe606acaa5dd8c36580e93c6ef5307fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Knicks, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs | 45c | 11,855$5,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,498.93 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Knicks | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 46c | 7,547$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Spurs | 10c | 5,299$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.1 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Knicks | 31c | 4,999$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.77 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Spurs | 10c | 3,512$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160.38 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 45c | 3,455$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.46 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 30c | 2,235$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.27 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 11c | 1,999$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.6 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks | 45c | 530.78$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.02 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 69c | 527.93$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.66 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Knicks | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs | 45c | 440$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.44 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks | 42c | 390.63$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.09 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Knicks | 79c | 379.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 70c | 370$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Knicks | 30c | 370$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Spurs | 50c | 311.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.31 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Spurs | 58c | 300.01$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Spurs | 13c | 277$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.99 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 69c | 227.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Spurs | 26c | 217.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.49 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Knicks | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…fd07backed Spurs | 28c | 177.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 31c | 173.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Spurs | 19c | 154.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Knicks | 75c | 146.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spurs | 36c | 133.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks | 76c | 131$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs | 48c | 126$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Knicks | 66c | 120.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Spurs | 62c | 116.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…34f5backed Spurs | 62c | 116.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks | 77c | 104.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Spurs | 17c | 101$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Knicks | 70c | 100.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Spurs | 31c | 98.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…a15abacked Spurs | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Knicks | 70c | 82.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Spurs | 31c | 67.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Spurs | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Knicks | 36c | 58.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Knicks | 70c | 56.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Knicks | 39c | 51.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks | 24c | 45.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks | 47c | 31.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Spurs | 56c | 30.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Knicks | 76c | 26.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Spurs | 47c | 23.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Knicks | 60c | 22.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Knicks | 62c | 16.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 194.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 195.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 196.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.