NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4927b736857b4ae0e8f59b49370f15adbd0444c0aa26de45854a6fdd1bedb85e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 50c | 12,390$6,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,195 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 50c | 11,373$5,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,714.23 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 52c | 1,941$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 1,372$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.62 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb240…df51backed Over | 53c | 1,367$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.08 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Over | 54c | 1,272$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 1,214$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.88 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 5c | 1,129$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under | 51c | 850$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 50c | 548.53$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.68 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 521.79$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.55 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…21fbbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 52c | 372.98$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.78 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Under | 59c | 339.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.73 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 321.25$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.59 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 41c | 307.73$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.17 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Under | 51c | 302.55$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.55 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 50c | 256$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Over | 49c | 246.9$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 52c | 204.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 186.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 50c | 100.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…fd07backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 52c | 96.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 87.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…ee62backed Under | 65c | 80.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 51c | 49.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a3afbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 47c | 42.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…7d91backed Over | 49c | 40.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…0eabbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…6db1backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed Under | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…ab38backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…31e5backed Under | 50c | 36.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 50c | 35.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Under | 51c | 34.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked Over | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…932ebacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 54c | 22.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…1274backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 194.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 195.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 196.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.