TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$272,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under44c40,000$17,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,249.961,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over52c38,651$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00011034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c37,263$18,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,970.7410944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c30,646$14,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,928.861,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over57c23,988$13,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,672.885848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c21,081$9,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,695.8155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c18,396$10,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,068.7364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over51c15,431$7,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,869.6184342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over57c14,834$8,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,397.185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c10,042$5,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,352.1889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under47c9,957$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,277.15940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c8,615$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,815.6152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Over53c8,511$4,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,486.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over53c8,050$4,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,266.56045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3e…089fbacked Over51c5,625$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c5,343$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,985.852,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under44c4,182$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.9225352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under45c3,912$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.471,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ff…5cdfbacked Over55c3,690$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9943438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under45c2,800$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under45c2,800$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over55c2,727$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over53c2,670$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.8518650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over45c2,286$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.212,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7320155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Under76c2,047$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.696048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over50c1,985$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c1,854$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c1,847$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under48c1,702$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.8553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Over60c1,679$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under49c1,483$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.9242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over56c1,338$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.382951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under45c1,181$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.271,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under50c1,148$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.4121848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Over50c1,002$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5105937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c1,000$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.312,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under46c868.01$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Over24c834.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c819.22$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.764,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over56c803.56$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504358.1%25 W · 18 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+53.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41650346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Over46c798.01$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.434344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over53c789.75$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7120946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over55c775.64$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.66347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under47c770.48$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.819959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over55c707.5$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.3452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over57c701.73$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9846959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82a1…ed3dbacked Over55c677$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.352347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under45c673.1$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.3212146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under48c626.65$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.8617247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under59c625.77$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.8919246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over52c619.23$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3222857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over57c614.39$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under44c610.3$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.773259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c606.38$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.4684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33068944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under40c567.66$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.0489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c543.34$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.844,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Under43c511.45$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.261275%9 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+71.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2553647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9920744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c496.58$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.33,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c483.99$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.191,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under42c477.15$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.7910248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under47c468.45$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2825651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over11c455.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20861740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c387.19$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.361,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over67c372.51$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under49c367.33$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.341,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Over28c363.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.933158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under45c355.56$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5621950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under46c354.25$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6760049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over23c345.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9116429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03eb…7210backed Over47c345.29$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Under44c325.31$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.174362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under50c305.43$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under50c302.46$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1332654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under49c301.84$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9435546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17132450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ff…947dbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502075%15 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc72d…4914backed Over52c296.92$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+83.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over40c286.93$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8325045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd28…dbf0backed Over52c285.43$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.344042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under42c282.23$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under49c270.89$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4530842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c39…d10bbacked Over53c245.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over51c225.13$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc638…e298backed Over46c217.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10417740.1%71 W · 106 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.