TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,144
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,144 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed Knicks34c32,911$11,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,797.1931644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs66c31,188$20,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,710.3410944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Spurs66c21,255$14,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,024.62,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks34c15,837$5,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,467.7763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Knicks34c8,763$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,783.7124942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs65c8,408$5,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,469.014,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks34c7,315$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,814.8390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs66c5,965$3,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,936.92,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Spurs66c5,512$3,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,638.181,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Knicks34c4,710$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,108.4417147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks34c4,307$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.3452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs68c3,728$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks34c2,905$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.111,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs66c2,790$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.081,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs66c2,289$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.7512146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Knicks33c2,148$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.9250346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2055…4542backed Knicks25c1,961$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.2823130.3%70 W · 161 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Spurs65c1,755$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.7562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Spurs67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0058351.8%43 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed Knicks34c1,489$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Knicks35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.575040%20 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x940e…732ebacked Knicks37c1,327$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks41c1,204$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.3576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Spurs36c1,099$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…9b53backed Knicks33c1,030$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.31361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Spurs66c999.99$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9956043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Knicks50c916.88$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.0121848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Spurs67c864.18$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Spurs65c848.18$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.3133945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Knicks35c842.2$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Spurs66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Knicks33c716.98$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3156843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Spurs67c624.82$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.635339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Spurs66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39649345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b02…083abacked Knicks35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Knicks47c526.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.44887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick56cpaid+62.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks60c517.91$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.741,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Spurs66c503.94$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.68848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Spurs66c502.17$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.432240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb21e…0608backed Spurs80c498.84$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.161782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Spurs68c360$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.847359.2%280 W · 193 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks42c344.9$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.891,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Spurs66c339.39$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2243756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs66c335.69$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5637652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Knicks39c329.62$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.544151.2%21 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks35c317.26$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.4984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Spurs73c309$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.764355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs77c240.09$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.415044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Knicks36c221.62$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.821181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.3wins+0.39per pick43cpaid+103.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Spurs66c218$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8820443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Spurs62c199.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12420651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Knicks37c177.24$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.665058%29 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe193…466ebacked Knicks34c176.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.472646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks50c171.2$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3330842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks34c162.59$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.091,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3d…235fbacked Spurs67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Knicks34c145.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9344347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked Spurs69c144.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd924…d06dbacked Knicks35c140$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe04…a198backed Knicks36c138.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.87933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Spurs67c137.19$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9215753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Knicks27c124.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2425039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Spurs66c121.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9a1…393abacked Knicks35c109.25$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+85.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3186…2a53backed Spurs68c102.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd70c…43eabacked Spurs66c101.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.681050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Spurs46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.525045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf9…fc07backed Knicks20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+98.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddbc…28c3backed Spurs71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715759.6%34 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3b…07f7backed Spurs63c99.97$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.983850%19 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc78b…5c76backed Spurs66c98.48$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655736.8%21 W · 36 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc78d…0bbdbacked Spurs66c90.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.991250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Spurs64c90$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.61,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d77…cf31backed Knicks17c87.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.874719.1%9 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+66.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Spurs66c83.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.812839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Spurs66c80$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.834850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c6…7ff9backed Knicks34c80$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.85100%5 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+144.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Knicks35c76.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8636247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Spurs66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd81…3874backed Spurs64c75.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0417…9248backed Spurs67c75.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.291546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Spurs67c74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.585133.3%17 W · 34 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Knicks34c73.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5559250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…e994backed Knicks35c71.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked Knicks35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.433759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7055…49bbbacked Spurs63c69.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9671…cfc4backed Knicks36c69.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Spurs67c64.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked Knicks36c60.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks35c55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.930448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda26…3b2fbacked Knicks36c54.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.521060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+62.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Spurs21c52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.688783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b7…fd93backed Knicks35c51.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Knicks33c48.48$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4815248%73 W · 79 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8743…1d96backed Knicks21c46.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.88850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+111.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Spurs68c45.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2314264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12f5…0d74backed Spurs66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…5d44backed Knicks31c45.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.421040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Knicks35c44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.61573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+70.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Spurs77c42.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.