NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc744c891602c9867f101fb1ba18aa8d71828f3a06719a4366e3e6a82daf950c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Knicks, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Knicks | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs | 45c | 9,121$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,011.28 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…068ebacked Knicks | 26c | 7,317$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs | 55c | 3,993$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.37 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…66cbbacked Spurs | 74c | 3,843$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 29c | 3,668$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.07 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…7b35backed Spurs | 74c | 3,636$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.49 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 45c | 2,658$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.74 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 42c | 2,432$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.9 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Spurs | 59c | 1,555$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.73 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 51c | 1,532$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Knicks | 44c | 1,185$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.24 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 45c | 1,000$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.82 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Knicks | 59c | 894.62$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.82 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Spurs | 59c | 837.63$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.43 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Spurs | 22c | 798.28$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.61 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…7169backed Knicks | 49c | 500$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Spurs | 14c | 439$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.54 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Knicks | 27c | 411.11$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Knicks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Knicks | 41c | 391.23$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Knicks | 66c | 306.6$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 41c | 273.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks | 69c | 238$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 64c | 226.04$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.01 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Spurs | 23c | 208$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Spurs | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Spurs | 14c | 199.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Spurs | 22c | 194.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spurs | 67c | 194$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks | 51c | 156.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Knicks | 26c | 152.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs | 32c | 143$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Spurs | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks | 65c | 135.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Knicks | 56c | 121.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 73c | 114.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…34f5backed Spurs | 67c | 113.19$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Spurs | 28c | 107.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Spurs | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Spurs | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 73c | 98.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 44c | 92.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Spurs | 61c | 88.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spurs | 50c | 83.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Knicks | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Spurs | 14c | 78.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 47c | 76.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Knicks | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs | 23c | 62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs | 40c | 52.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Knicks | 39c | 50.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4788…6bc3backed Spurs | 62c | 40.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ffefbacked Knicks | 38c | 39.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Spurs | 52c | 30.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Knicks | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Knicks | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Spurs | 45c | 26.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Knicks | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…e155backed Spurs | 62c | 20.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +9.1wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…1bbdbacked Spurs | 51c | 20.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…d621backed Spurs | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Spurs | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Spurs | 75c | 18.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Knicks | 56c | 17.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a55…fe8bbacked Spurs | 69c | 17.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 194.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 195.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 196.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.