TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,218 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks50c1,593$789 inLost-$789.4164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs54c1,072$581 inWon+$491.9253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs52c1,018$529 inWon+$488.422,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Spurs52c993.52$516 inWon+$477.5462144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks48c653.32$315 inLost-$314.98,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks48c575.32$276 inLost-$276.1910944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Spurs53c531.13$282 inWon+$249.317432.4%24 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1350…7169backed Knicks43c399.99$174 inLost-$1743438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Spurs48c200$96 inWon+$10438242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Spurs52c200$104 inWon+$965971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs56c184.77$104 inWon+$80.5432654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks57c165$94 inLost-$94.0593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Knicks45c146.62$67 inLost-$66.5625340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs62c140.29$87 inWon+$53.6430842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b4…73cdbacked Knicks22c135.65$30 inLost-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks24c121.33$29 inLost-$29.1284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks44c113.02$50 inLost-$49.681,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Knicks42c100$42 inLost-$4241227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Spurs51c96.31$50 inWon+$46.743946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c23…bf7abacked Knicks41c95.5$39 inLost-$392040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Spurs54c90$48 inWon+$41.613764.2%88 W · 49 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks23c89.3$21 inLost-$20.5425045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks56c83.18$46 inLost-$46.2960250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs49c81$40 inWon+$41.3116429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Knicks33c80$26 inLost-$26.436243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks46c69.71$32 inLost-$32.312,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa730…dd50backed Spurs46c65.39$30 inWon+$35.39944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1f…7661backed Spurs51c58.23$30 inWon+$28.53875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+47.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Spurs52c55$29 inWon+$26.159271.7%66 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Knicks59c49.39$29 inLost-$29.149061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs54c43.28$23 inWon+$19.9190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs54c43.28$23 inWon+$19.9163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs64c43.04$28 inWon+$15.3825150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Spurs52c40$21 inWon+$19.211847.5%56 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs58c40$23 inWon+$16.822753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs57c34.11$19 inWon+$14.7136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Knicks57c33.26$19 inLost-$18.9440750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks46c32.69$15 inLost-$15.0452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Spurs72c27.89$20 inWon+$7.896259.7%37 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs52c27$14 inWon+$12.951,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks54c25.58$14 inLost-$13.861,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs78c23.12$18 inWon+$5.0925554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs54c18.99$10 inWon+$8.7352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Spurs57c18.94$11 inWon+$8.177152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs77c15.76$12 inWon+$3.621,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.