MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x170996552b270c08f78fa7facadc17015bc40cec12ab932e90c31baed1dfd58c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 36,479$14,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,591.61 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 12,421$7,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,978.8 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 8,888$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.1 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 4,857$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.13 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 4,612$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.91 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 2,524$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.71 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 2,512$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.73 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 1,663$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.39 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 923.33$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.33 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 755.73$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.21 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 705.16$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.17 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…4ee0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 682.41$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.41 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 600$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 480$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 428.97$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.51 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 397.62$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.68 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 369.52$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 272.22$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 263.1$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 225.83$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 161.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…a5e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 160.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9717…bd55backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 143.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 140$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 139.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 137$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 133.74$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 129.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2b…9128backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 116.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 111.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 106.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 104.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 100.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 86.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 78.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 76.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0281…f0debacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…97a6backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 58.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…5eb0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 50.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 47.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 35.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…426fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 27.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…d171backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 20.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-9.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.