TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,552 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6bb3…758ebacked Los Angeles Angels63c948$597 inLost-$597.2430647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers66c456.55$301 inWon+$155.662,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c455.52$219 inWon+$236.663,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers37c388.38$144 inWon+$244.7511,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c337.17$163 inWon+$174.028,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels34c266.9$92 inLost-$91.814,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels45c265$120 inLost-$120.2212,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c119$61 inWon+$58.214748.9%23 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Los Angeles Angels34c102.94$35 inLost-$3547549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers39c92.8$36 inWon+$56.815,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Los Angeles Angels34c82.35$28 inLost-$2854951.2%281 W · 268 L+29.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Los Angeles Angels63c61.9$39 inLost-$3946759.7%279 W · 188 L+2.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Los Angeles Angels55c59.31$33 inLost-$32.61,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Los Angeles Angels34c58.82$20 inLost-$2027846.8%130 W · 148 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers39c55.2$22 inWon+$33.673,46051.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L+107.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels65c50$32 inLost-$32.416,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers33c41.85$14 inWon+$285,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c33.96$17 inWon+$16.936,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Los Angeles Dodgers39c33$13 inWon+$20.181,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels50c30$15 inLost-$15.0410,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Los Angeles Dodgers66c15.54$10 inWon+$5.281,02250.6%517 W · 505 L+54.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.