MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03a6b6f266f57d342c50a6d64591b500ef6163b2fbf26a29eaf2484ed2805cca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $503,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $512,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 314,040$197,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,243.18 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 154,018$56,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,129.55 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 81,902$29,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,465.68 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 50,108$18,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,587.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 35,335$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 28,202$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked San Francisco Giants | 62c | 15,824$9,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,051.93 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 13,178$4,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,581.74 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 12,439$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.55 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed San Francisco Giants | 72c | 11,306$8,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.62 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 10,947$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,801.83 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 9,881$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.93 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 9,157$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,644.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 6,700$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 6,489$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.9 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 5,377$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.8 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.98 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 3,130$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.7 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 3,079$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 2,130$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.9 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 2,125$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.43 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 1,900$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.07 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,675$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.74 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 1,646$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.19 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,620$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.39 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,486$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.26 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 1,435$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.02 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,402$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.33 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 1,280$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.67 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 1,105$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.33 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 1,001$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.47 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…0a0cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f1…d942backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…28dcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 991.85$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 886.37$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.84 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 743.35$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.36 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 711.58$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 698.46$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.18 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 649.2$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.57 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants | 69c | 644.38$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.91 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 630.26$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.34 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 575.61$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.95 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 530.32$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 499.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 459$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 450.63$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.98 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…c595backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 419.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed San Francisco Giants | 76c | 382.8$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 376.32$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 343.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 336.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 331.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 303.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 299.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.97 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…9c3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 269.27$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.88 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 250.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 221.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 218$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 211.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 211.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 211.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 209.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 205.64$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 200.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 199.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 192.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 191.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 187.84$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 180.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 176.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 169.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 169.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 168.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 167.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 166.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 166.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbe…442cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 164.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 163$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155a…b549backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 157.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 150.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 149.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…89ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 148.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 144.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…83c6backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 142.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -7.4wins | -0.24per pick | 63cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.