CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcd4f960e88183a597e715ba4f6b026ec330a2b45a20cb50ad90517404b18afe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof ASTRAL, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ASTRAL | 60c | 1,637$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.17 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ASTRAL | 38c | 1,171$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.58 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 917.5$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.95 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL | 33c | 711$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.19 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 666$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.32 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ASTRAL | 52c | 494.41$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.92 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 478.6$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.16 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 57c | 461$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ASTRAL | 30c | 417.81$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.21 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 399.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked ASTRAL | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 347.5$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 38c | 334$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 313.64$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.94 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 66c | 299.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed ASTRAL | 53c | 278.08$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.57 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 270.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.68 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 270.22$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.38 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 56c | 260.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed ASTRAL | 12c | 249.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked ASTRAL | 39c | 243$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 72c | 220.6$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASTRAL | 53c | 209$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed ASTRAL | 35c | 205.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed ASTRAL | 11c | 195.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 61c | 193$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed ASTRAL | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ASTRAL | 32c | 169$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 167.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edd…c57fbacked ASTRAL | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ASTRAL | 38c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed ASTRAL | 73c | 141.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 140.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ASTRAL | 58c | 131.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed ASTRAL | 23c | 129.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 61c | 112.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ASTRAL | 54c | 105.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…7813backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed ASTRAL | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ASTRAL | 68c | 88.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked ASTRAL | 43c | 83.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed ASTRAL | 34c | 82.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed ASTRAL | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 75.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ac…93e8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 59c | 67.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed ASTRAL | 67c | 65.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed ASTRAL | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked ASTRAL | 24c | 63.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 61.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…bd45backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 60.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed ASTRAL | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 42c | 59.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 80c | 50.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4f…03acbacked ASTRAL | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed ASTRAL | 46c | 47.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f6…a4f9backed ASTRAL | 58c | 43.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 43.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 67c | 35.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed ASTRAL | 74c | 33.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…42c4backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 63c | 31.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed ASTRAL | 43c | 29.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 68c | 29.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 66c | 24.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b3…79e6backed ASTRAL | 69c | 24.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c12fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 75c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.