CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48acf7092fc041a8c0dc4c6a9445f5ddd2da4cfa88be5783e177b07a8fac629a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof illwill, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill | 39c | 20,562$7,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,997.47 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked illwill | 32c | 14,866$4,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,719.38 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed illwill | 5c | 11,666$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.41 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 6,209$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725.48 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 4,704$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.75 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 4,244$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.92 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 60c | 3,523$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.77 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 3,357$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.82 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…e1fdbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 3,142$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.34 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed illwill | 33c | 3,116$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.89 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 3,021$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.71 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 2,796$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.25 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 2,422$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.53 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 2,417$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.42 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed illwill | 14c | 2,154$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.96 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked illwill | 59c | 2,095$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.03 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.98 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed illwill | 35c | 1,562$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.86 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 1,487$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.16 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 1,452$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.83 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked illwill | 29c | 1,379$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.02 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 32c | 1,347$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.56 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…86a7backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 1,315$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed illwill | 59c | 1,308$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.9 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 1,297$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.03 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 1,200$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.99 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed illwill | 32c | 1,183$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.56 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 1,174$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.06 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked illwill | 58c | 1,112$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.67 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 1,098$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.63 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 1,088$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.31 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 1,033$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.31 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 1,022$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.41 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 925.09$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.38 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 910$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.3 | 607 | 48.1%292 W · 315 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed illwill | 36c | 900$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 361 | 46.8%169 W · 192 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 888$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.24 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 854.31$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.82 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 784.05$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked illwill | 38c | 746$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 723.22$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.36 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 720$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.21 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked illwill | 45c | 672.44$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.81 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 657.82$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.97 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked illwill | 33c | 627.27$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 627$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.63 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked illwill | 8c | 619.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 599.99$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 589.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.68 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…9a6cbacked illwill | 33c | 587.73$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed illwill | 64c | 559.37$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…6424backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 524.9$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked illwill | 32c | 499.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed illwill | 32c | 490$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 249 | 43%107 W · 142 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed illwill | 54c | 480.52$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.39 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…2aa9backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 463.86$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.74 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 414.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.85 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked illwill | 33c | 403.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 228 | 38.2%87 W · 141 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed illwill | 42c | 400$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.14 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed illwill | 32c | 399.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed illwill | 32c | 398.74$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.33 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 394.7$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.93 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed illwill | 40c | 375.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 365.93$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 361.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb538…413ebacked illwill | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 345.08$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 343.68$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 451 | 38.4%173 W · 278 L | -29.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed illwill | 31c | 330.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 498 | 41.8%208 W · 290 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed illwill | 34c | 321.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 449 | 44.8%201 W · 248 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…f1aabacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 307.05$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 306.05$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 117 | 67.5%79 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed illwill | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed illwill | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…4fdebacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 300$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked illwill | 41c | 290.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 282.72$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 273.22$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 264.36$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 258$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 250.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.95 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked illwill | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed illwill | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 569 | 41.3%235 W · 334 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed illwill | 27c | 235.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 234.49$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed illwill | 59c | 232$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 224.7$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed illwill | 40c | 212.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 587 | 43.4%255 W · 332 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed illwill | 34c | 209.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed illwill | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +16.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 204$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked illwill | 33c | 203.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 202.51$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 1,546 | 33.8%523 W · 1,023 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked illwill | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 189$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…4b6dbacked illwill | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…9727backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 153.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerillwill won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.