TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Centurion 2: Tuncay Duran vs Stefano Napolitano

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tuncay Duranof Tuncay Duran, Stefano Napolitano
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,715 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed Stefano Napolitano79c20,000$15,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,799.9666949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tuncay Duran23c16,960$3,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,025.758,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tuncay Duran26c5,379$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,992.088,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Tuncay Duran16c3,915$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,269.933,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Tuncay Duran28c3,757$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.3935951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tuncay Duran27c2,930$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.226,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tuncay Duran16c2,519$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.984,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tuncay Duran31c2,258$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.716,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Tuncay Duran26c1,597$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.0228835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Stefano Napolitano67c1,227$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.969,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Stefano Napolitano18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1aa…9359backed Tuncay Duran17c999.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.9920535.1%72 W · 133 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Tuncay Duran23c999.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Tuncay Duran25c874.84$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.131,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Stefano Napolitano73c805$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.552,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Tuncay Duran16c800.5$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.4256827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Stefano Napolitano75c784.11$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.71,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tuncay Duran19c782.56$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.194,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tuncay Duran64c729.45$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.154,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Stefano Napolitano77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Tuncay Duran67c589.47$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.095,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Stefano Napolitano67c499.99$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.994,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Tuncay Duran24c453.4$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.581,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Tuncay Duran23c451.57$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.9858048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Stefano Napolitano76c450.9$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4891755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf677…409ebacked Stefano Napolitano77c408.59$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315933.3%3 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Tuncay Duran26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6258539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tuncay Duran77c380.32$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Tuncay Duran24c345.39$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.154,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Tuncay Duran21c344$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7656744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Tuncay Duran25c325.04$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8867239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Stefano Napolitano55c320.36$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.942,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Tuncay Duran21c281$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.685,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Tuncay Duran26c270.56$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.342,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Tuncay Duran14c268.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.5442125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Stefano Napolitano76c259.74$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.41,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c21…3bc2backed Tuncay Duran43c234.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.762944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Tuncay Duran43c230.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.728562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Stefano Napolitano75c225.33$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.133,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Tuncay Duran24c207.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.781,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Tuncay Duran70c202.25$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.622,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Stefano Napolitano76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15234154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Tuncay Duran25c195.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.345242.3%22 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Tuncay Duran26c192.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.563,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked Stefano Napolitano76c190$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.42572%18 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Tuncay Duran29c172.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.243,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Tuncay Duran17c160$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.679052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ece…3b9bbacked Stefano Napolitano76c150$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11415966%105 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dc…b61abacked Tuncay Duran24c150$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11427530.2%83 W · 192 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Stefano Napolitano77c129.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.997,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Stefano Napolitano59c121.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.983,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Tuncay Duran24c115.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.082,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Stefano Napolitano75c114.16$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.761,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cc…d703backed Tuncay Duran18c110.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.871952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tuncay Duran43c108.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.726,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Tuncay Duran23c106.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6435444.6%158 W · 196 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Stefano Napolitano77c103.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.973,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tuncay Duran32c101$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.331,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Tuncay Duran52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4849943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Stefano Napolitano38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3844949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Tuncay Duran40c97.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.736,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Tuncay Duran30c92.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8196945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Tuncay Duran23c88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.762,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Tuncay Duran22c85.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1319531.3%61 W · 134 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Tuncay Duran29c82.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6585742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Tuncay Duran27c76.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1516354%88 W · 75 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Stefano Napolitano77c75.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0678350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Tuncay Duran30c71.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.066048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ac…bd45backed Stefano Napolitano23c70.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.397222.2%16 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Tuncay Duran30c70.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.151,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Tuncay Duran23c63.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6185637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Tuncay Duran21c61.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.647250%36 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Tuncay Duran27c57.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9520259.4%120 W · 82 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Tuncay Duran23c55.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.571,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Tuncay Duran19c54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7473748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tuncay Duran35c52.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1266834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Stefano Napolitano76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Tuncay Duran65c41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3959253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Tuncay Duran30c40.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4230544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Tuncay Duran52c35.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.832,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Stefano Napolitano64c32.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0539845.5%181 W · 217 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tuncay Duran36c31.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.318,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Tuncay Duran37c31.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.811,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e98…8ff2backed Stefano Napolitano64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Tuncay Duran55c31.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.072,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf676…9a00backed Stefano Napolitano76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020158.7%118 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Stefano Napolitano77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2088560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Stefano Napolitano79c23.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3239161.4%240 W · 151 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x087b…cdcfbacked Stefano Napolitano75c21.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.095446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Stefano Napolitano76c20.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.754,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Stefano Napolitano76c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.467848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Stefano Napolitano76c14.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8975262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked Stefano Napolitano76c14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6425858.1%150 W · 108 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…0f4cbacked Stefano Napolitano78c13.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.