CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs against All authority (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73ab4d61ba9df3a6ec2dd367a89857e10fbba8533ea86c78cd8787f3e1744651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, against All authority
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked against All authority | 31c | 5,384$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.31 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked against All authority | 45c | 3,256$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.6 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Phantom | 55c | 2,525$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.25 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed against All authority | 15c | 2,426$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.89 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Phantom | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 749 | 56.7%425 W · 324 L | +47.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Phantom | 55c | 1,999$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.34 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked against All authority | 41c | 1,491$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.39 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Phantom | 51c | 600$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.96 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Phantom | 55c | 599.44$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.01 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed against All authority | 36c | 544.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.19 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…b58fbacked Phantom | 64c | 521.05$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Phantom | 72c | 319.44$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed against All authority | 33c | 303.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed against All authority | 30c | 256.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Phantom | 51c | 249.03$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…a306backed against All authority | 45c | 224.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed against All authority | 51c | 222$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Phantom | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed against All authority | 39c | 209.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Phantom | 54c | 185.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed against All authority | 36c | 183.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Phantom | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…7813backed Phantom | 64c | 154$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Phantom | 61c | 152.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed against All authority | 46c | 143$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Phantom | 55c | 139.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Phantom | 56c | 137.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Phantom | 64c | 115.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked against All authority | 17c | 103.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Phantom | 56c | 94.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed against All authority | 46c | 94.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Phantom | 63c | 82.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Phantom | 70c | 79.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked against All authority | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Phantom | 66c | 73.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed against All authority | 26c | 68.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Phantom | 59c | 60.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…bd45backed against All authority | 21c | 56.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Phantom | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed against All authority | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed against All authority | 43c | 45.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…29dbbacked Phantom | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed against All authority | 42c | 39.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Phantom | 50c | 35.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 690 | 41.9%289 W · 401 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked against All authority | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed against All authority | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed Phantom | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Phantom | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 651 | 49%319 W · 332 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Phantom | 56c | 19.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…258fbacked Phantom | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs against All authority (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs against All authority - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs against All authority - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs against All authority (+1.5)Phantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.