CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47734c6e2c85e5a65a9e136c20270b277ce3ad22a0200fecedf4a7ccc2702f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INOX Divisionof INOX Division, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 47c | 4,077$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked INOX Division | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed INOX Division | 53c | 1,888$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.67 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed INOX Division | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.99 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed INOX Division | 55c | 907.75$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.49 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports | 52c | 619.25$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.36 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MANA eSports | 45c | 599.89$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.95 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed INOX Division | 50c | 476$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked MANA eSports | 45c | 436$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MANA eSports | 46c | 372.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.12 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked INOX Division | 46c | 308.71$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.7 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MANA eSports | 37c | 246.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MANA eSports | 38c | 227.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked MANA eSports | 50c | 224$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked INOX Division | 73c | 219.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed MANA eSports | 44c | 186.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed MANA eSports | 54c | 185.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked INOX Division | 48c | 179.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MANA eSports | 44c | 160.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed MANA eSports | 49c | 159.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked MANA eSports | 45c | 155.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed MANA eSports | 53c | 152.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed INOX Division | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked MANA eSports | 17c | 147.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed INOX Division | 55c | 147$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked INOX Division | 53c | 127.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked MANA eSports | 36c | 122.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked INOX Division | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…7d96backed MANA eSports | 19c | 90.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed MANA eSports | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed MANA eSports | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed MANA eSports | 26c | 75.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…40fcbacked MANA eSports | 51c | 74.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked MANA eSports | 53c | 72.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…bd45backed MANA eSports | 30c | 71.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed INOX Division | 74c | 70.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b61…c97fbacked INOX Division | 80c | 61.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed INOX Division | 68c | 50.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed INOX Division | 59c | 47.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed MANA eSports | 28c | 46.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed INOX Division | 57c | 44.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…a931backed INOX Division | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed MANA eSports | 53c | 39.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MANA eSports | 35c | 39.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed MANA eSports | 46c | 30.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed INOX Division | 54c | 28.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…038fbacked MANA eSports | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked INOX Division | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed INOX Division | 57c | 25.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked INOX Division | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked INOX Division | 56c | 20.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked INOX Division | 72c | 15.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs MANA eSports (+1.5)MANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.