CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Lilmix (BO3) - Esplay Elite Gaming Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0b3ec7f73236f5d40caa23cee26d1a10e768cd50bc92c5f3290f2f5ab1be61b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Infiniteof Infinite, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Infinite | 62c | 4,046$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.28 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 45c | 3,568$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Infinite | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Lilmix | 4c | 2,200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Infinite | 56c | 1,888$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.71 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Lilmix | 41c | 1,492$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.42 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Infinite | 54c | 1,407$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.09 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 40c | 1,379$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.13 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…3d2bbacked Lilmix | 36c | 1,129$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Lilmix | 38c | 779.52$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Infinite | 64c | 754.21$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.81 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lilmix | 45c | 728.14$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.66 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Lilmix | 35c | 648$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.68 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Infinite | 55c | 586.03$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.71 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lilmix | 44c | 542.05$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 35c | 457.54$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Lilmix | 36c | 386.51$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lilmix | 40c | 313.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Infinite | 64c | 299.63$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Lilmix | 35c | 297.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Lilmix | 44c | 274$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…4483backed Lilmix | 12c | 217.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Lilmix | 46c | 210.72$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Infinite | 55c | 210$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Infinite | 55c | 209.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.26 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Lilmix | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Lilmix | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lilmix | 33c | 197.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…a44bbacked Lilmix | 38c | 189.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Lilmix | 37c | 188.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lilmix | 38c | 178.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lilmix | 37c | 164.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix | 36c | 164.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Lilmix | 37c | 116.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Infinite | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Infinite | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Lilmix | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…6424backed Infinite | 58c | 85.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…ffcabacked Lilmix | 40c | 84.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…91c2backed Lilmix | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lilmix | 41c | 75.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…bd45backed Lilmix | 20c | 61.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed Infinite | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Lilmix | 44c | 50.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbda…18b1backed Infinite | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Infinite | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lilmix | 33c | 44.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Infinite | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Infinite | 55c | 35.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Infinite | 55c | 33.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed Infinite | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Infinite | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Lilmix | 44c | 29.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Infinite | 55c | 27.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Lilmix (BO3) - Esplay Elite Gaming Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerLilmix won
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerInfinite won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.