NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd873275335c27cb03d734396cf8678d9c8adeb2a6a3ad54bd04af7fc6b94097d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Jets, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $690,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $712,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Jets | 43c | 110,921$47,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,696.19 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Stars | 58c | 103,037$60,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,028.33 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Jets | 42c | 89,871$37,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,745.7 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Jets | 41c | 69,759$28,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,405.81 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Jets | 42c | 65,743$27,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,497.17 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 60c | 62,865$37,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,249.19 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 58c | 62,179$36,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,876.97 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Jets | 43c | 47,153$20,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,275.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Jets | 43c | 42,212$18,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,151.29 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Stars | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,200 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Stars | 57c | 25,120$14,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,801.81 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Stars | 58c | 20,690$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,689.66 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Stars | 58c | 17,105$9,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,233.5 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Stars | 60c | 17,000$10,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,830 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 58c | 13,863$8,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,781.85 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 56c | 13,391$7,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,832.2 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jets | 44c | 12,685$5,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.29 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Stars | 60c | 12,000$7,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Stars | 57c | 11,700$6,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,031 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 57c | 11,000$6,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Stars | 56c | 9,439$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.46 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Jets | 43c | 9,302$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Stars | 60c | 8,776$5,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.82 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 58c | 8,510$4,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 57c | 7,793$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.95 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7be…3aa3backed Stars | 57c | 7,092$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets | 40c | 6,500$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Stars | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.96 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Stars | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Stars | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Jets | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Stars | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.99 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Jets | 37c | 4,939$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.24 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Stars | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Stars | 57c | 3,600$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Stars | 58c | 3,478$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.87 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Jets | 43c | 3,471$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.53 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Stars | 45c | 3,223$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.37 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Stars | 59c | 3,216$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.21 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Stars | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 49c | 2,937$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.56 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Jets | 37c | 2,759$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Jets | 38c | 2,600$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Jets | 43c | 2,558$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Stars | 61c | 2,488$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.14 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Stars | 57c | 2,372$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.75 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Stars | 58c | 2,080$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jets | 55c | 2,064$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.93 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jets | 49c | 2,054$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.24 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Stars | 57c | 2,028$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.75 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Jets | 46c | 2,015$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.96 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Jets | 39c | 2,008$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.76 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Stars | 60c | 2,004$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.6 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Stars | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars | 59c | 2,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Jets | 38c | 1,977$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.38 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Stars | 57c | 1,975$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.25 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Jets | 41c | 1,931$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.78 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Stars | 57c | 1,930$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.82 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Jets | 41c | 1,708$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.28 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Jets | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets | 42c | 1,688$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.31 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Stars | 60c | 1,667$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.73 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Stars | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Stars | 58c | 1,500$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Jets | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked Stars | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars | 57c | 1,491$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.23 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Stars | 55c | 1,411$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.62 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Stars | 57c | 1,380$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.42 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stars | 56c | 1,215$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.76 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Jets | 61c | 1,205$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.94 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Jets | 52c | 1,164$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Jets | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Stars | 57c | 1,162$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.66 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Jets | 43c | 1,160$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Jets | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Jets | 44c | 1,142$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…6ffabacked Jets | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Jets | 4c | 1,100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Stars | 57c | 1,087$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.22 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Stars | 56c | 1,061$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.24 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Stars | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Stars | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…7c5dbacked Jets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Stars | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jets | 46c | 973.24$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.44 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Stars | 57c | 958.31$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.06 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Stars | 58c | 953.45$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.45 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Stars | 64c | 921$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Stars | 57c | 899$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.57 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Stars | 61c | 887$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.19 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 56c | 781.32$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.26 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Stars | 58c | 750$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 57c | 749.19$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.25 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Stars | 60c | 746.67$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.67 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Stars | 61c | 702$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.78 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Starsthis page
- Jets vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Jets vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.