TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Stars: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.993262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Over49c9,850$4,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,023.54365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9927243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c4,676$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.372,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c4,026$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.171,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c3,952$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.279350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under49c3,409$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.354841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Over48c2,970$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under50c2,821$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.351,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c2,817$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.6761953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over50c2,592$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.8914553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c2,346$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.5486852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Over51c2,183$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.8564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Under52c1,531$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.982147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c1,517$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.982,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over48c1,500$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77532650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over68c1,471$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.1458841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c1,063$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.991,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c918.76$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.473,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over49c777$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.2784953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c688.28$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.651,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30047051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.22944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over52c431.21$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.261,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over51c311$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3930349.5%150 W · 153 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under58c294.49$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17033735%118 W · 219 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.121,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under52c249.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9919651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2978651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c221$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7136748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over59c220$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.242254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under41c220$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.29350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over49c218.29$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3312548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c200.8$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.062,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9859950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under64c181.92$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4321856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed5e…8da1backed Over51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.86757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked Over65c154$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over49c124$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.241,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over60c103.83$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.833467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5130447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c92.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.862,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over51c92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0810858.3%63 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Under49c89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.612466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under51c84.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.349149.5%45 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under74c81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.75052%26 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c69.41$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0991653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under37c69.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.762951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Over74c68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6819141.9%80 W · 111 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over26c66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.911153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under52c64.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4726243.5%114 W · 148 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under42c63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.462,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302564%16 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over69c59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2229553.6%158 W · 137 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over50c56.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0722655.3%125 W · 101 L+17.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over57c50.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9bd4…35b5backed Under20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x726b…c72bbacked Under50c45.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.571631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-44.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Over51c43.52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.326040%24 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under51c42.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7438551.4%198 W · 187 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Over51c41.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.18944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.094351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020655.3%114 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041847.8%200 W · 218 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a14…8610backed Over51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.622572%18 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Over49c34.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.934158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Over54c32.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.816842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Over47c31.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.918950.6%45 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa597…7e14backed Under67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.11258.3%7 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick76cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xceee…9051backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159458.5%55 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7286049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over48c24.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6310745.8%49 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Over51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.272458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over50c20.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0416756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021951.6%113 W · 106 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.