TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Santos: Murkel Dellien vs Nick Hardt

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Murkel Dellienof Murkel Dellien, Nick Hardt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1fc…5da8backed Nick Hardt0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Murkel Dellien21c3,480$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,757.744,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nick Hardt62c2,604$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.677,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Murkel Dellien17c2,345$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.4268026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Murkel Dellien22c1,392$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.7562140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d99…9675backed Murkel Dellien36c1,371$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.7415530.3%47 W · 108 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Murkel Dellien40c998.29$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.983,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa164…4e82backed Murkel Dellien30c991.68$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.571435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Murkel Dellien41c859.02$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0298240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nick Hardt60c842.56$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.972,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f9d…c744backed Murkel Dellien42c801.31$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.7511247.3%53 W · 59 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa838…bccebacked Nick Hardt70c714.28$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006264.5%40 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Murkel Dellien37c709.19$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.7950340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Murkel Dellien24c699.71$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.024721.3%10 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Murkel Dellien49c663.7$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.735,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nick Hardt70c594.56$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.714,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Murkel Dellien23c562.34$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.6737421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Murkel Dellien22c560.59$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.528,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Nick Hardt64c547.35$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nick Hardt29c515.31$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.398,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Murkel Dellien54c505$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.358639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Murkel Dellien43c466.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0121149.8%105 W · 106 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nick Hardt46c423$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5895140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Murkel Dellien52c401.02$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.422,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nick Hardt77c389$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.531,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Murkel Dellien48c372.76$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.994,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Murkel Dellien21c365.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.951,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Nick Hardt63c337.66$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.721,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Nick Hardt75c300$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x672f…13ccbacked Murkel Dellien78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Nick Hardt71c289.33$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.921,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d2…3e5bbacked Murkel Dellien37c271.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.542759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Murkel Dellien39c245.39$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.996,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Murkel Dellien24c241$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1644448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Nick Hardt68c235.32$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9856070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Murkel Dellien41c227.56$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.311,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Murkel Dellien33c204.91$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.848,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nick Hardt57c197.23$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.427,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74c…1f49backed Nick Hardt75c166.66$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514674%108 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Murkel Dellien33c165.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.684,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Murkel Dellien70c165.37$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.611,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nick Hardt63c158.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Nick Hardt63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Nick Hardt53c156$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.111,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nick Hardt66c154.8$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.556,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Murkel Dellien36c151.39$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.892,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Murkel Dellien11c144$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1685449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ac…bd45backed Nick Hardt10c142.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.267222.2%16 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed Nick Hardt73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013565.9%89 W · 46 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c26…c2d0backed Murkel Dellien37c135.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1312462.1%77 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabbf…126cbacked Nick Hardt63c119.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5911050%55 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Nick Hardt47c117$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.678757.5%50 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Nick Hardt26c108$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0847649.6%236 W · 240 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nick Hardt42c103.74$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.487,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Nick Hardt64c101.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6566452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Murkel Dellien37c101.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4690335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Murkel Dellien32c95.94$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.164,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Murkel Dellien37c90.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3150958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed Nick Hardt50c89.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2118033.9%61 W · 119 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Murkel Dellien74c89.54$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2825763.4%163 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Murkel Dellien28c79.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3318932.3%61 W · 128 L+0.7wins0.00per pick32cpaid+496.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Murkel Dellien36c77.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6983047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Murkel Dellien39c77.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8126951.3%138 W · 131 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Murkel Dellien32c77.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1152155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Nick Hardt63c76.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3953843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Murkel Dellien53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.251,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Nick Hardt79c74.68$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5923754.4%129 W · 108 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Nick Hardt22c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.416552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Murkel Dellien17c58.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.833,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Nick Hardt76c55.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7291880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Nick Hardt80c55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Nick Hardt55c54.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9943951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Murkel Dellien37c50.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.18350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Nick Hardt78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3988273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Nick Hardt50c49.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8551339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Murkel Dellien31c47.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6785624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc287…6d47backed Murkel Dellien57c46.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3515332%49 W · 104 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Murkel Dellien37c45.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9526734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Nick Hardt23c44.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.072,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Murkel Dellien45c43.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.049737.1%36 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Murkel Dellien27c39.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8229533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Murkel Dellien35c38.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2959440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Murkel Dellien52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4690854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Nick Hardt46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.11,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Nick Hardt61c34.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3434549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Murkel Dellien43c33.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.982,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Nick Hardt57c33.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9860856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nick Hardt56c30.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Nick Hardt63c27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9659253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Nick Hardt62c26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1550644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Nick Hardt59c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3489859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc444…5eeabacked Nick Hardt77c25.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9923073.9%170 W · 60 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick78cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Murkel Dellien79c25.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.211,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52e7…dfaabacked Murkel Dellien60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105125.5%13 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Nick Hardt65c23.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520841.8%87 W · 121 L-26.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Murkel Dellien70c22.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.795,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Nick Hardt66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1120857.2%119 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd64a…5612backed Nick Hardt76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…39eebacked Murkel Dellien79c17.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.598235.4%29 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Nick Hardt69c15.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8337058.6%217 W · 153 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.