CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb4c7ae9f1ade5652886fcb94d4292c35ba5aa18bd2cad45cc17433aec249d22

Rebuilt 3 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Alzonof Crashers, Alzon
Resolved: May 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,046 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84ad…bfb7backed Alzon	39c	6,244$2,406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,838.48	1,088	54.2%590 W · 498 L	+39.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Crashers	60c	3,708$2,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,214.61	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Crashers	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	194	3.6%7 W · 187 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Alzon	20c	1,109$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$887.16	205	54.1%111 W · 94 L	+17.3wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Crashers	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	215	0.9%2 W · 213 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Crashers	65c	714.13$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.82	219	47.5%104 W · 115 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Alzon	49c	711.77$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.64	1,779	59.1%1,052 W · 727 L	+104.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bd9…ea45backed Alzon	22c	577.17$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.19	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8668…7f8fbacked Crashers	52c	570.79$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.03	133	43.6%58 W · 75 L	-9.8wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Crashers	75c	524$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.08	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alzon	21c	500$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395	1,573	35.3%556 W · 1,017 L	+22.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf15…2aa9backed Crashers	74c	455.01$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.81	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Crashers	65c	402.51$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.46	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Crashers	47c	397.9$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.4	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Alzon	35c	385.62$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.27	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…c43abacked Crashers	51c	350.32$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.96	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Alzon	17c	332.51$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.33	300	31.7%95 W · 205 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Alzon	20c	325.74$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.14	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7521…9997backed Crashers	62c	324.08$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c0…ae83backed Crashers	78c	320.51$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	73cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Alzon	16c	308.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.81	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed Crashers	76c	300$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Alzon	24c	300$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133c…b5abbacked Crashers	79c	299.46$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.48	92	40.2%37 W · 55 L	-10.2wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alzon	42c	293.21$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.79	1,618	46.8%758 W · 860 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Crashers	71c	280.46$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	330	60.9%201 W · 129 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Crashers	62c	280$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.6	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Alzon	24c	274.51$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.66	334	59%197 W · 137 L	+24.3wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Crashers	28c	261.86$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.37	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Alzon	18c	244.16$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.46	486	35.4%172 W · 314 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Crashers	60c	199.01$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.75	468	43.4%203 W · 265 L	-11.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Crashers	77c	173$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.21	576	41.5%239 W · 337 L	-8.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Crashers	54c	162.37$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.25	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Alzon	36c	155.85$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.35	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Alzon	35c	153.78$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.65	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed Crashers	40c	145.84$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.65	120	36.7%44 W · 76 L	-12.0wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a87…3345backed Alzon	35c	141.94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.94	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Crashers	51c	132.81$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Alzon	25c	132.55$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.74	262	46.9%123 W · 139 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Crashers	60c	131.38$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.28	284	34.9%99 W · 185 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Crashers	61c	120.38$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.6	916	48.9%448 W · 468 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Alzon	42c	111$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.38	303	48.5%147 W · 156 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Crashers	60c	110.14$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.54	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Crashers	75c	104.84$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.63	226	45.1%102 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Alzon	19c	104.54$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.81	780	43.7%341 W · 439 L	-21.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Crashers	28c	99.65$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.96	107	25.2%27 W · 80 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-37%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Alzon	21c	94$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.56	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7add…7a7bbacked Alzon	22c	90.91$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.91	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Alzon	41c	90.88$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.27	79	44.3%35 W · 44 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Crashers	63c	86.79$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.99	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Crashers	63c	84.92$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.76	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Crashers	47c	84.46$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.91	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Crashers	76c	80$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.8	217	44.7%97 W · 120 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32d4…42c4backed Alzon	39c	77.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.55	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Crashers	57c	72.03$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.06	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Alzon	19c	60.61$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.39	1,620	52.7%853 W · 767 L	+57.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Crashers	79c	59.4$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.93	101	33.7%34 W · 67 L	-14.2wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked Crashers	58c	55.47$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.1	456	63.6%290 W · 166 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Crashers	76c	54.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.79	291	56.7%165 W · 126 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ac…bd45backed Crashers	42c	51.94$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Crashers	62c	51.61$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	283	46.6%132 W · 151 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Crashers	67c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	1,274	71.5%911 W · 363 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed Crashers	80c	49.33$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.27	231	58.4%135 W · 96 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Crashers	63c	47.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.97	172	57.6%99 W · 73 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Crashers	50c	44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	258	45.7%118 W · 140 L	-18.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Crashers	63c	42.01$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.42	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Alzon	51c	41.25$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.21	231	50.6%117 W · 114 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Alzon	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	333	54.4%181 W · 152 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Crashers	61c	36$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.84	389	42.4%165 W · 224 L	-15.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdce…1588backed Crashers	76c	35.43$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+581.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Crashers	79c	34.51$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.26	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	68cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Crashers	80c	32.81$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab48…612dbacked Crashers	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	95	57.9%55 W · 40 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Crashers	64c	31.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	454	50.2%228 W · 226 L	-12.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…68c9backed Crashers	53c	31.07$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	240	51.7%124 W · 116 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Crashers	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1,003	55.7%559 W · 444 L	+24.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb5…6fe9backed Crashers	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	100	61%61 W · 39 L	+10.9wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbcf4…a399backed Crashers	57c	26.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagethis page
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon - Map 1 WinnerAlzon won
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon - Map 2 WinnerAlzon won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event