CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30f244d0410e89a99bf67ecc26e2c2cc3564f6b64c743161003b567b6e0634f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alzonof Crashers, Alzon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Alzon | 27c | 973.06$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.06 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Alzon | 56c | 726$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.48 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Crashers | 44c | 648.3$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.19 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alzon | 17c | 440$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Crashers | 72c | 431.76$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.95 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alzon | 11c | 339.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.22 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Alzon | 50c | 258.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Crashers | 65c | 254.65$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.43 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alzon | 23c | 248.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.3 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alzon | 32c | 230$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Alzon | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Alzon | 30c | 167.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.87 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alzon | 30c | 165.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Crashers | 49c | 143$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Crashers | 70c | 111.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Crashers | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Crashers | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Crashers | 62c | 93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Alzon | 30c | 68.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Crashers | 78c | 61.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Crashers | 66c | 56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Crashers | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Alzon | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Crashers | 60c | 48.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Crashers | 67c | 48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Crashers | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Crashers | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Crashers | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Crashers | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Crashers | 73c | 23.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Crashers | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Crashers | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Crashers | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group StageAlzon won
- Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon - Map 1 WinnerAlzon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.