CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2267677be089347597b1968cd56c5f60cf35f314b4fd398e2e1b755b18e36d7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alzonof Crashers, Alzon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Crashers | 63c | 6,077$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,812 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Crashers | 31c | 2,676$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.66 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Crashers | 24c | 2,024$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alzon | 42c | 1,961$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.06 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Alzon | 39c | 1,898$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.63 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Crashers | 28c | 725.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Crashers | 36c | 620.71$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.31 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Alzon | 62c | 429.95$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.66 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alzon | 28c | 269$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Crashers | 67c | 258$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Crashers | 22c | 240.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alzon | 36c | 229$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.22 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Crashers | 28c | 219.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alzon | 46c | 196.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Crashers | 14c | 172.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alzon | 30c | 139$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alzon | 67c | 122.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Crashers | 45c | 109.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alzon | 44c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Alzon | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked Alzon | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alzon | 26c | 95.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Alzon | 55c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Alzon | 32c | 79.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alzon | 26c | 58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Crashers | 68c | 57.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Alzon | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…f591backed Alzon | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Crashers | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Alzon | 45c | 47.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Alzon | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4d…c654backed Alzon | 57c | 43.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…3e48backed Crashers | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Crashers | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Crashers | 54c | 33.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Crashers | 58c | 27.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Crashers | 58c | 27.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Alzon | 46c | 22.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…1501backed Crashers | 66c | 21.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group StageAlzon won
- Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon - Map 2 WinnerAlzon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.