TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof LGD Gaming, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68c9…aec3backed LGD Gaming14c9,252$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.7714744.2%65 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex65c5,812$3,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.281,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked LGD Gaming24c4,651$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.131,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed LGD Gaming16c3,972$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.3341455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed LGD Gaming16c3,767$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.5764744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Yandex69c3,515$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.159556.8%54 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Team Yandex69c3,458$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.9522450%112 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed LGD Gaming33c3,086$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.948536.5%31 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed LGD Gaming14c2,222$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0825150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed LGD Gaming13c2,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508847.7%42 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed LGD Gaming33c1,806$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.3427645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked LGD Gaming13c1,735$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.937018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LGD Gaming29c1,673$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.011,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Team Yandex69c1,453$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.2114258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8992…ed1fbacked Team Yandex78c1,274$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.956050%30 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked LGD Gaming35c1,226$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.12050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed LGD Gaming36c1,194$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.3317648.3%85 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed LGD Gaming26c1,070$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.031,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Team Yandex68c826.77$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9224343.6%106 W · 137 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a0…111abacked LGD Gaming19c720.67$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.936547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3f…0aa4backed LGD Gaming35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed LGD Gaming30c599.99$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18180742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked LGD Gaming32c590.93$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.310643.4%46 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed LGD Gaming29c509.23$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.429440.4%38 W · 56 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0d…9bbdbacked LGD Gaming35c501.04$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.96650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed Team Yandex64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18012755.1%70 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Team Yandex64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed LGD Gaming13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6513551.9%70 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf408…afe0backed LGD Gaming35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed LGD Gaming35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Team Yandex70c484.25$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.285653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc8…adf7backed LGD Gaming35c480.84$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Team Yandex67c475.98$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3430357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked Team Yandex67c376.83$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.831844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e28…2ef4backed LGD Gaming31c324.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007533.3%25 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed LGD Gaming28c288.12$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9865647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed LGD Gaming35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed LGD Gaming33c275.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2633445.2%151 W · 183 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Yandex67c238.21$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.738142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked LGD Gaming32c220.7$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.629340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Yandex68c215.87$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0829047.9%139 W · 151 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Team Yandex67c207.84$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5919460.3%117 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed Team Yandex70c204.05$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8829352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Team Yandex70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6092561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked LGD Gaming16c199.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321450%7 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Yandex66c187$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5866545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28f6…79c0backed LGD Gaming16c174$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.542152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed LGD Gaming27c159.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6181345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed LGD Gaming33c152.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4651550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed LGD Gaming31c147$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.576841.2%28 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Team Yandex66c147$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked LGD Gaming30c140$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4224034.2%82 W · 158 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed Team Yandex72c138$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3814557.9%84 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…12eabacked LGD Gaming37c121.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.551030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked LGD Gaming36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3631126%81 W · 230 L-17.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed LGD Gaming33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3325047.6%119 W · 131 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x45b8…339fbacked LGD Gaming15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Team Yandex67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed LGD Gaming35c99.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4814058.6%82 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked LGD Gaming35c97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0113435.8%48 W · 86 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Team Yandex69c94$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.141361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed LGD Gaming33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9224…b43bbacked LGD Gaming35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2816942.6%72 W · 97 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5b…62c7backed Team Yandex66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.767166.2%47 W · 24 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeff4…bf5cbacked Team Yandex66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Team Yandex68c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3752950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa28c…0042backed LGD Gaming33c69.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce3…599dbacked Team Yandex73c68.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9d…de16backed LGD Gaming24c67.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.298965.2%58 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2628…39cfbacked Team Yandex71c66.58$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5817763.8%113 W · 64 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x260a…eb0fbacked Team Yandex68c64.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3315368%104 W · 49 L+17.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3296…c186backed Team Yandex64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.516552.1%86 W · 79 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe48f…4ae5backed LGD Gaming31c60.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf76e…3650backed Team Yandex66c55.89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.896660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Yandex79c48.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3942146.6%196 W · 225 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Team Yandex62c48.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3811452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4290…af07backed Team Yandex63c47.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.372343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Yandex62c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.180544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…3332backed Team Yandex67c44.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.611735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Team Yandex67c39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.871361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed Team Yandex68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.768662.8%54 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37a8…8b4dbacked Team Yandex57c35.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0815957.9%92 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Team Yandex65c34.74$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1612155.4%67 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+134.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed LGD Gaming30c33.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017146.8%80 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeee…8fc8backed Team Yandex64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x054e…51bdbacked Team Yandex75c30.01$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.614153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad6…c1c4backed LGD Gaming36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.99326.9%25 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked LGD Gaming36c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed Team Yandex67c29.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.853154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Team Yandex68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4114566.2%96 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Team Yandex63c29.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7931143.4%135 W · 176 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked Team Yandex69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.992254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Team Yandex67c27.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9422260.4%134 W · 88 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed Team Yandex67c22.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ca…c38fbacked Team Yandex64c20.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.37616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Team Yandex63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.497142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9311…e731backed Team Yandex50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed Team Yandex63c19.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.341060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Team Yandex65c16.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.812556.8%71 W · 54 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Team Yandex63c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9216550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.