Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50b747a9e8efa400cc053169e43347516b932aaf7b526bdcc8eca7b2b5ddb8a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked No | 4c | 23,479$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 8c | 8,846$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.07 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 6c | 4,300$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.86 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 5c | 3,550$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.3 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 3,100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…bfc5backed No | 8c | 2,580$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.6 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked No | 11c | 2,455$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.1 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…94cdbacked No | 8c | 1,826$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.77 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 50c | 1,809$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.88 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 5c | 1,500$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…f022backed No | 56c | 1,418$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +114%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 18c | 1,340$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.99 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 79c | 1,313$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.59 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed No | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc301…6760backed No | 1c | 1,192$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 80c | 1,162$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…8a2abacked No | 22c | 1,153$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0c67backed No | 8c | 1,144$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 19c | 1,035$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.51 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9640…d852backed Yes | 64c | 916.47$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 12c | 909.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 139 | 19.4%27 W · 112 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…e0cbbacked No | 29c | 862.6$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 77c | 857.52$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 31c | 796.93$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.37 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 6c | 779.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 16cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…8ba1backed No | 10c | 766.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…1362backed Yes | 68c | 748.54$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed No | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked No | 47c | 668.89$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.43 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…4b5ebacked Yes | 77c | 646.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 10c | 641.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.18 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 6c | 625.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 79c | 601.53$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +144%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 18c | 599.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 70c | 565.54$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.22 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…e2d3backed No | 2c | 522.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 33c | 472.14$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…3bb8backed No | 5c | 408.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 360.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.12 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 33c | 360.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…1d78backed No | 9c | 333.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 6c | 331.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 48c | 312.11$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 285.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.43 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…3b26backed Yes | 74c | 277.13$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…be4dbacked Yes | 34c | 273$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Yes | 73c | 258$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed No | 6c | 237.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 15c | 232.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…c7bdbacked Yes | 71c | 230.57$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 14c | 220$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 55c | 196.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 14c | 196.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 24c | 191$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.16 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 8c | 137.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…b529backed No | 58c | 136.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed Yes | 32c | 135.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 124.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 9c | 122.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 38c | 118.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 31c | 113.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…a81ebacked No | 15c | 108.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe151…a852backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…efafbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fda…7453backed No | 11c | 95.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 24c | 93.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 76c | 83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…cb3bbacked Yes | 73c | 68.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 29c | 67.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 35c | 54.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…1872backed No | 77c | 45.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 39c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 61c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…170bbacked Yes | 61c | 40.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…38ecbacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…9bbdbacked Yes | 69c | 34.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ca…8479backed Yes | 54c | 30.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 61c | 29.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 74c | 29.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…a2d4backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…6800backed Yes | 77c | 25.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 79c | 16.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 64c | 15.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 95 | 78.9%75 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?this page
- Will Antonio Villaraigosa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Betty Yee advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Butch Ware advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Carolina Buhler advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Ché Ahn advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Daniel Mercuri advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will David Serpa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will David Thelen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Dylan Colbert advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Ian Calderon advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Javen Allen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Jimmy Parker advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Kyle Langford advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Leo Zacky advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Raji Rab advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Ramsey Robinson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Ryan Tillman advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Sharifah Hardie advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Sophia Brink advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes won
- Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Tony Thurmond advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Zoltan Istvan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.