Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6afe2473bc068e6dcd842c3e2792c3b5e85fbec71b6112d86c648fe46e9014c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,007,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,085,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,007,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 602 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 34,424$23,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,993.59 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…fb57backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 27,900$16,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,505.19 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8a…8a18backed MOUZ | 25c | 27,592$6,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,992.16 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 32c | 24,118$7,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,645.68 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed MOUZ | 24c | 22,374$5,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,369.67 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 20,737$15,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035.99 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked MOUZ | 28c | 19,265$5,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,459.4 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 32c | 14,282$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.04 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 13,500$9,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 12,989$7,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,154.82 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 12,498$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.43 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 11,201$6,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,424.74 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked LGD Gaming | 75c | 10,785$8,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.55 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked LGD Gaming | 78c | 10,226$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.12 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed MOUZ | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed MOUZ | 39c | 9,986$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910.07 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked MOUZ | 44c | 9,295$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,111.9 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed LGD Gaming | 77c | 9,000$6,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.99 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed MOUZ | 30c | 8,720$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.4 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed MOUZ | 29c | 8,386$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.87 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 8,250$6,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed MOUZ | 27c | 7,361$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.68 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked MOUZ | 24c | 7,331$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.5 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed MOUZ | 44c | 6,938$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 35c | 6,487$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.01 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed MOUZ | 50c | 6,204$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.98 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed MOUZ | 46c | 5,990$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.28 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed MOUZ | 28c | 5,655$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.71 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked MOUZ | 20c | 5,280$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ | 37c | 5,243$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.2 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked LGD Gaming | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc1…c26bbacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 5,000$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked MOUZ | 30c | 4,877$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.36 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 4,740$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.13 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 23c | 4,633$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.58 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 4,614$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.92 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 40c | 4,574$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.53 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 4,483$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.1 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff45…4bc2backed MOUZ | 43c | 4,450$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed MOUZ | 23c | 4,304$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 4,250$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.46 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 34c | 4,044$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.03 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked LGD Gaming | 54c | 4,036$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.15 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 25c | 3,894$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.34 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ | 23c | 3,855$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.61 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked MOUZ | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 3,836$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.17 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed MOUZ | 36c | 3,815$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.55 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed MOUZ | 29c | 3,792$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.61 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 3,500$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.92 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 3,500$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed LGD Gaming | 79c | 3,484$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.73 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…00e2backed MOUZ | 36c | 3,399$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.73 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed MOUZ | 35c | 3,327$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.87 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 3,190$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.19 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed MOUZ | 27c | 3,167$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked MOUZ | 24c | 3,115$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.6 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed MOUZ | 28c | 3,043$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.04 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed MOUZ | 26c | 3,002$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.43 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed MOUZ | 34c | 2,932$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…0c98backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 2,927$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.21 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 22c | 2,773$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.7 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 2,700$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed MOUZ | 15c | 2,700$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked MOUZ | 33c | 2,688$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.77 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed MOUZ | 24c | 2,668$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.21 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed MOUZ | 40c | 2,667$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.92 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 37c | 2,565$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.55 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 2,545$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.53 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 2,525$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.06 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed MOUZ | 35c | 2,522$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.32 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed MOUZ | 31c | 2,503$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.32 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked MOUZ | 26c | 2,486$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.4 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ | 34c | 2,475$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.25 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MOUZ | 33c | 2,441$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.79 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 2,440$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 2,428$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.99 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ | 29c | 2,404$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.02 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed MOUZ | 44c | 2,367$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.27 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed MOUZ | 46c | 2,366$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.87 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked MOUZ | 30c | 2,344$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.07 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 2,337$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.29 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked LGD Gaming | 79c | 2,336$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.61 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed MOUZ | 29c | 2,241$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked MOUZ | 45c | 2,233$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…d607backed MOUZ | 34c | 2,220$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.04 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked MOUZ | 33c | 2,134$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.79 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed MOUZ | 28c | 2,050$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.68 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed MOUZ | 44c | 2,032$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 27c | 1,978$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.5 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked LGD Gaming | 72c | 1,938$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.14 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ | 29c | 1,897$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e14bbacked MOUZ | 32c | 1,837$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.76 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ | 25c | 1,834$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed MOUZ | 23c | 1,820$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked MOUZ | 40c | 1,752$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.38 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.