Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabfd91b82fa1d7c600978368446b28338be0e3b8c9befd7f988b33a0cc317c93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $565,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $643,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 25c | 39,571$9,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,814.61 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 25,683$18,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,520.68 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 25,628$18,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,565.99 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 19,878$13,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,040.91 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked MOUZ | 28c | 18,571$5,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,266.52 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…fb57backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 17,332$12,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425.13 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8a…8a18backed MOUZ | 30c | 16,602$5,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,029.32 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 15,622$11,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 13,279$9,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.8 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked LGD Gaming | 72c | 13,201$9,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696.39 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked MOUZ | 30c | 13,200$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 13,200$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked LGD Gaming | 71c | 11,734$8,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.87 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 1c | 11,000$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked MOUZ | 30c | 10,933$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.41 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked MOUZ | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ | 18c | 9,829$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.53 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 0c | 9,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked MOUZ | 30c | 8,448$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed MOUZ | 29c | 8,210$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.9 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked MOUZ | 4c | 7,955$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.04 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed MOUZ | 28c | 7,061$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.68 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed MOUZ | 30c | 6,711$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.57 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked MOUZ | 4c | 6,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ | 15c | 6,016$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked MOUZ | 8c | 5,763$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.33 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 5,517$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.87 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed MOUZ | 29c | 5,075$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.1 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 4,522$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.47 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 4,500$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed MOUZ | 2c | 4,460$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 4,167$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.22 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked LGD Gaming | 79c | 4,129$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.21 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 4,105$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.84 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked MOUZ | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed MOUZ | 16c | 3,890$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.81 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ | 29c | 3,848$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.68 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 28c | 3,832$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.07 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 3,750$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.5 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked MOUZ | 18c | 3,720$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.85 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ee…a16fbacked MOUZ | 1c | 3,666$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked MOUZ | 29c | 3,545$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…ab9ebacked MOUZ | 30c | 3,472$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 3,455$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.23 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 3,405$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.94 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked MOUZ | 31c | 3,270$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked LGD Gaming | 71c | 3,211$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.6 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 26c | 3,186$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.29 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed MOUZ | 29c | 3,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 19c | 2,916$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 2,750$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 2,655$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.73 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 2,501$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.29 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 2,500$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,500$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.99 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,472$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked MOUZ | 4c | 2,359$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LGD Gaming | 72c | 2,350$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed MOUZ | 14c | 2,334$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.34 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed MOUZ | 10c | 2,292$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.42 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed MOUZ | 12c | 2,272$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.23 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked MOUZ | 31c | 2,206$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.34 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 29c | 2,172$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.87 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed MOUZ | 28c | 2,148$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 2,142$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.93 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed MOUZ | 28c | 2,127$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.62 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…0591backed MOUZ | 10c | 2,121$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 26c | 2,111$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.73 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 2,084$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.35 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked MOUZ | 29c | 2,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 6c | 2,000$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked MOUZ | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed MOUZ | 31c | 1,935$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked MOUZ | 25c | 1,874$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.39 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 1,829$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed MOUZ | 29c | 1,796$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…00e2backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 1,776$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.64 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed MOUZ | 15c | 1,750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed MOUZ | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed MOUZ | 24c | 1,690$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.6 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked MOUZ | 27c | 1,677$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.79 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ | 26c | 1,593$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.23 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked MOUZ | 31c | 1,525$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.61 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed MOUZ | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,481$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.16 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 22c | 1,469$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.23 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…3199backed MOUZ | 29c | 1,378$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 1,350$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.5 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 19c | 1,350$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…7a34backed MOUZ | 25c | 1,312$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.32 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…54bcbacked MOUZ | 18c | 1,301$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked MOUZ | 28c | 1,300$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…b356backed MOUZ | 4c | 1,180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed MOUZ | 23c | 1,179$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.36 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed MOUZ | 30c | 1,173$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.2 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.